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The latest episode of Allin was quite interesting because the four guys made some bold predictions and outlooks for 2026. It was packed with information, and they were all very excited, proudly boasting about how accurate their predictions from last year were.
I recommend listening to this episode. Because there's so much information, I only took notes on some of the most crucial predictions, mainly their "2026 winners" section.
The TL;DR version: This year's winners will be: Huawei, Polymarket, copper, the IPO market, and Amazon.
Specifically: David Friedberg (the "Scientific Sultan" and the show's encyclopedia):
- Huawei is the top winner because Huawei is working hard with SMIC on chip technology research, making rapid progress, and its performance will exceed expectations;
- Polymarket is another winner because it has evolved from a quirky prediction market into an unexpected platform providing profound insights into current events and news. It's estimated that many traditional financial trading platforms will partner with Polymarket.
Chamath Palihapitiya (Founder of Social Capital, the turtleneck sweater-wearing eccentric who recently made a fortune selling his Grog investment)
- First choice: himself (actually a joke, because he made a killing at the start of the new year thanks to his Grog investment);
- Really bullish on copper: everyone is underestimating the copper shortage (copper is the most useful, cheapest, most compliant, and best conductor we have, used in all sorts of places, from data centers to chips to our weapons systems; it's projected that by 2040, the global supply will be in short supply by about 70%)
David Sacks (The Trump administration's AI/crypto czar)
- IPOs: He believes 2026 will be a big year for IPOs, with many successful IPOs, and we may see trillions of dollars in new market capitalization created by listed companies. Of course, he didn't forget to flatter his leader: "This is all part of the Trump prosperity."
Jason Calacanis (Show host)
- Amazon: The continued push to replace humans with robots will make Amazon a big winner. Amazon has remained largely unchanged in hiring employees, but is surging in the deployment of robots. In addition, Amazon's free cash flow will be better, AWS business will grow, and more people will use AWS.

陳威廉
@williamlab
01-11
今儿去动物园看熊猫啃竹子,回来路上才听了昨儿更新的Allin播客,发现老几位对2026的预测简直炸裂。
简单来说今年会是经济腾飞的一年,GDP会比三季度那个恐怖的数据还高.AI和机器人会大量落地,拉飞生产力.降息和回流会让大量热钱迸发出来,到处乱赌.
总之今年就两个地方会涨:这里会涨,那里会涨.

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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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