Prediction Markets Hit New TVL High as Polymarket Tops $330 Million

The total value locked (TVL) across crypto-focused prediction markets hit a new high this week, reaching above $550 million, according to data from DefiLlama. The latest milestone surpasses the sector’s previous all-time high, which was driven by on-chain prediction marketplace Polymarket and set during the 2024 U.S. presidential elections.

TVL across prediction markets. Source: DefiLlama

Polymarket remained the largest platform by TVL, with about $330 million at press time, followed by OPINION with roughly $155 million, and Predict Fun at $21.7 million, the data shows.

Kalshi Leads Volumes

Kalshi, which mainly functions as an off-chain platform despite its continuous push to integrate blockchain, led the sector in trading volumes, posting $2.2 billion in weekly notional volume and hitting a daily record of more than $535.5 million on Jan. 18. Polymarket is currently ranked third by weekly trading volume with about $786 million.

Polymarket’s revenue in 2026. Source: DefiLlama

Polymarket, which had long operated as a fee-free marketplace, recently rolled out taker-only fees on certain markets. On Jan. 12, the platform recorded its highest daily revenue so far at just over $109,300. Daily revenue has since fallen and remained below $75,000 as of Jan. 21.

Even with the decline, Polymarket is now the second-largest prediction market by weekly revenue, generating around $550,000 over the past seven days, trailing only OPINION, which made $1.5 million over the same period.

DefiLlama doesn’t report revenue for Kalshi, but estimates suggest the platform earned over $263 million in fees in 2025, with the majority coming from its popular sports markets.

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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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