I've always held a secret opinion: from a purely financial perspective, AI and Crypto operate on the same model—the same invention story as A16Z, followed by an instantiation story, multiple rounds of high-valuation financing, a boom in fake data, a positive feedback loop that inflates the bubble, and a high-level exit. Two more chilling points: ① Large-scale companies, like Crypto public chains, cannot profit from their own cash flow and can only exit through the capital market; ② The current relationship between Nvidia and OpenAI is similar to the relationship between Nvidia and Ethereum in the past, except that the former was a Ponzi scheme involving GPU mining, and now it's a Ponzi scheme involving AI data centers. This model is sustainable because of the current globalized system structure driven by the United States, a modern-day Roman Empire. However, the appointment of Kevin Warsh as the new Federal Reserve Chairman signifies that MAGA, which advocates deconstructing globalization, is beginning to wield supreme financial power and will reshape a new financial order characterized by Americanization. The old Wall Street practice of extreme exploitation of the Federal Reserve through put options is likely no longer viable.
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勃勃OC
@bboczeng
根据我2025年2-4月份的经验,这一波美股是真的结束了
彻底结束了
看看比特币,看看贵金属,看看AI半导体
看看SNDK
任何一次微弱的反弹,都只是最韭幻想
SPY不跌20%,不会结束——这也是华尔街的历史惯例
虽然听起来很可怕
但只要你做不短线交易
拿住优质资产
甚至和我们一样,买入了QQQI
Sector:
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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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