Wall Street reacts after Bitcoin drops below $70,000.

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Phố Wall phản ứng sau khi Bitcoin giảm xuống dưới 70.000 USD

Institutional capital flows reversed sharply as the US Spot Bitcoin ETF recorded $330.7 million in net inflows on February 6th, even though Bitcoin prices remained below $70,000 and retail investors were experiencing extreme fear.

The contrast between retail sentiment and institutional buying behavior is highlighting the growing Vai of Bitcoin ETFs in leading liquidation, especially during the volatile market conditions in early February.

MAIN CONTENT
  • The US spot Bitcoin ETF unexpectedly recorded $330.7 million in net inflows on February 6th, led by BlackRock IBIT.
  • The period of February 3-5 saw very large outflows, indicating that institutional sentiment can shift quickly in a volatile market.
  • The Fear & Greed Index is at 8 (“Extreme Fear”) while Bitcoin dominance remains high around 58.96%, suggesting a shift of funds away from altcoins towards Bitcoin.

Spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US reversed course with $330.7 million in inflows on February 6th.

On February 6th, the US Spot Bitcoin ETF shifted from sustained outflows to net inflows of $330.7 million, with BlackRock IBIT being the main driver, creating a buy signal from institutional money even when BTC was below $70,000.

After weeks of Capital (with only occasional exceptions), the market saw a clear reversal, according to Farside Investors data. The net inflow of $330.7 million is XEM unusual given the weak prices and the continued outflow of funds from crypto funds.

This development reveals a divergence: retail investors tend to be pessimistic when Bitcoin falls below the psychological mark of $70,000, while large financial players may see this as an attractive price range for accumulation. In other words, at the same price level, the two groups of investors are interpreting it in two different ways.

Bitcoin ETF flows fluctuated sharply in early February.

The first week of February showed unstable institutional sentiment: large inflows on February 2nd were quickly reversed by a massive chain of outflows from February 3rd to 5th, before reversing again on February 6th.

According to Farside Investors data, on February 2nd, Bitcoin ETFs received $561.8 million in inflows, starting the month on a positive note. However, the "boom" didn't last long, as the market recorded a total of $5.16 billion in outflows in just three days, from February 3rd to 5th.

On February 5th alone, Capital outflows reached $4.34 billion in a single day, becoming the focal point of the sharp sell-off. This underscores the risk of "extremely rapid reversals" in institutional capital flows when the market is highly volatile and risk management strategies are implemented simultaneously.

Despite the trend reversal on February 6th, Bitcoin's price remains in a weak zone. At the time mentioned in the original text, BTC was at $69,140, ​​down nearly 2% in 24 hours, reflecting that ETF inflows don't always immediately translate into upward price movements.

BlackRock IBIT leads the way, with many other Bitcoin ETFs also attracting investment on February 6th.

On February 6th, BlackRock IBIT led with $231.6 million inflows; ARKB, BITB, Grayscale BTC , and BTCO also recorded inflows, indicating widespread buying pressure rather than being concentrated in just one fund.

Cash flow breakdown shows that IBIT attracted $231.6 million. Additionally, Ark Invest (ARKB) had $43.3 million, Bitwise (BITB) had $28.7 million, Grayscale (BTC) recorded $20.1 million, and Invesco (BTCO) had $7 million inflows.

Notably, this buying pressure contrasts with retail sentiment as the Crypto Fear and Greed Index falls to 8, corresponding to "Extreme Fear". When the index falls sharply, many small traders tend to prioritize risk reduction or selling, while ETF flows show the opposite trend.

Bitcoin dominance remains high, suggesting a shift of funds from altcoins to Bitcoin.

Bitcoin dominance remains high at 58.96%, reflecting the possibility that money is flowing out of riskier altcoins and back into Bitcoin during this period of market stress.

Bitcoin dominance data on TradingView shows that this indicator remains high at 58.96% at the time mentioned. In volatile environments, increased dominance is often accompanied by "fleeting back to larger assets," especially when altcoin liquidation is thinner and the potential for sharper declines is greater.

If dominance continues to be maintained or expands, the market could see a divergence: Bitcoin retaining capital better than the rest, while many altcoins face Capital pressure. However, high dominance does not automatically mean Bitcoin's price will rise immediately, as it could also occur in a "less than market" scenario.

IBIT and institutional cash flow can operate under a “rebalancing” mechanism.

Part of the selling pressure may be mechanical due to automated systems and institutional rules; structured products related to IBIT and rebalancing operations may cause volume to surge without reflecting panic.

The original text quotes Arthur Hayes's view that selling pressure is primarily "mechanical," stemming from automated systems and organizational operating rules rather than panic. This is important because it changes how signals are interpreted: high volume doesn't necessarily mean a "crowd sell-off."

One example mentioned is banks like Morgan Stanley using structured products linked to BlackRock IBIT and continuously adjusting their positions to manage risk. When the market is volatile, hedging and rebalancing activities can create large buy/sell flows in the short term.

On February 5th, IBIT trading volume reached a record $10.7 billion and options Volume reached $900 million. This indicates that institutions may be urgently rebalancing their portfolios rather than reacting emotionally. However, the next direction for Bitcoin from the $69,140 level remains uncertain, while the influence of institutions on market structure is becoming increasingly clear.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the $330.7 million net inflow of the Spot Bitcoin ETF on February 6th tell us?

This suggests that institutional money may be buying when BTC is below $70,000, contrary to the pessimistic sentiment of some retail investors, and also demonstrates that the demand for exposure to Bitcoin through ETFs remains present.

Why did we experience strong inflows at the beginning of February, followed by very strong outflows?

Institutional Capital flows can reverse rapidly in volatile markets due to rebalancing, risk management regulations, and the operation of automated trading systems, causing inflows/outflows to fluctuate dramatically on a daily basis.

What does a Fear & Greed Index of 8 mean for market behavior?

Level 8 corresponds to "Extreme Fear," typically reflecting retail investors' concerns about risk and their tendency to sell or reduce positions, although some institutions may still take advantage to buy.

What does Bitcoin's 58.96% dominance suggest?

It suggests that money may be flowing away from riskier altcoins to focus on Bitcoin, especially during periods of market tension. However, high dominance doesn't guarantee an immediate increase in BTC price.

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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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