Cardano is recovering, but the rally may soon become unsustainable.

CME expects support for Cardano (ADA ) Futures Contract from February 9th, but the long-term trend structure of ADA remains bearish.

The announcement of the futures product launch comes at a time of significant volatility in the crypto market, with Bitcoin and Cardano having fallen sharply since mid-January. Buyers have temporarily held a key support zone, but the short-term rebound may not be enough to reverse the trend.

CME is reportedly set to support Cardano (ADA ) Futures Contract starting February 9th.

News about ADA Futures on CME may provide a short-term boost to sentiment, but it doesn't automatically reverse the trend as long as the technical structure remains weak.

According to the original announcement, CME plans to support Cardano (ADA ) Futures Contract starting Monday, February 9th. Chainlink (LINK) and Stellar (XLM) will also be added to CME's crypto product lineup at the same time.

The news comes amidst significant market volatility. Bitcoin (BTC) has reportedly fallen nearly 30% since January 15th, while Cardano (ADA) has dropped 34% over the same period. This makes the impact of futures news easily overshadowed by the overall market trend.

ADA buyers temporarily defended the $0.267 level, but the long-term downtrend remains dominant.

ADA is bouncing up from the $0.267 support level, but the weekly chart still shows clear bearish signals, so the rebound is likely to be purely technical.

The $0.267 level is described as a major support that buyers have just "temporarily" defended. However, the weekly chart shows a sharp and prolonged decline since October, indicating that long-term selling pressure still holds the advantage.

A key point is that ADA has lost the $0.53 support zone, which was crucial in the first half of 2025. Breaking through this zone is XEM as a major blow to the previous uptrend structure and increases the likelihood of selling pressure on rallies.

At the time of discussion, another support level at $0.246 was also tested. As the price repeatedly hits lower support zones, the risk of an extended decline increases if demand is not strong enough to create a higher Dip .

The long-term demand zone of $0.22–$0.27 remains a crucial level for ADA.

The $0.22–$0.27 range is XEM a long-term demand zone from late 2022; a loss of the $0.22 mark could weaken the buyers' Dip -holding argument.

The original text states that the $0.22–$0.27 range has Vai as Cardano 's long-term demand zone since late 2022. This is why ADA reaction around $0.267 is significant, but it also indicates that there isn't much "left room for error" left.

On the weekly chart, a bearish wick appeared at $0.22 in the first week of June 2023. The $0.22 level is considered a Dip that buyers do not want to be broken, because if it is breached, selling pressure could increase due to psychological and technical effects.

ADA 's short-term rebound could test $0.287 before weakening.

A bullish divergence between RSI and price is almost complete, so the plausible scenario is for ADA to rebound to $0.287 (78.6% Fibonacci) before resuming its long-term downtrend.

The bullish divergence between RSI and price is "near ending," implying that the recovery momentum may have been largely reflected. In the context of a still-downward major trend, bullish divergence often leads to short pullbacks to test the nearest resistance.

The highlighted level is $0.287, corresponding to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. According to the original text's scenario, ADA may only briefly touch this area before continuing its long-term downtrend instead of breaking out to confirm a reversal.

Setting up a trend-following trade: look to sell around $0.287 with a target of $0.22.

One suggested trading scenario is to open a short position when ADA retests $0.287, targeting $0.22, and invalidating it if it breaks above $0.305.

According to the original text, a " Short position" is XEM feasible when the price retests $0.287. The target is stated as $0.22, which is the long-term Dip in the weekly pattern. The invalidation point is located above the local high of $0.305.

For long-term investors, the original text emphasizes "no need to rush" to buy at the Dip, as the market Dip process can take weeks to months. This aligns with the current downward trend and the possibility of multiple tests of the long-term demand zone.

Risk of a " liquidation sweep" above $0.30 and a potential ceiling of $0.33–$0.35.

If Bitcoin surges, ADA could be pulled above $0.30 to wipe out liquidation, but the supply zone of $0.33–$0.35 is XEM the ceiling of the rebound.

The original text warned of a “liquidity hunt” scenario above $0.30, especially if Bitcoin surpasses $74,000 and heads towards $80,000. In that case, stop-loss orders from sellers and breakout orders could be triggered, pushing the price up rapidly before reversing.

In a Bitcoin uptrend scenario, the $0.33–$0.35 range is identified as a “supply zone” and could become the ceiling of the rebound. This implies a significant risk of chasing the rally if the long-term structure remains unchanged, as the price could encounter substantial selling pressure upon reaching the supply zone.

Frequently Asked Questions

Does CME's support for ADA Futures Contract mean the price of ADA will rise in the long term?

Not necessarily. Futures news might improve liquidation and short-term sentiment, but the underlying analysis still assesses ADA 's long-term trend as bearish, so the price could continue downtrending after a technical rebound.

Which price range is XEM most important for ADA?

The key levels identified include support at $0.267, support at $0.246, and the long-term demand zone of $0.22–$0.27. Of these, $0.22 is a crucial Dip that buyers are unwilling to see broken.

What short-term recovery scenario is ADA aiming for?

The $0.287 level is highlighted as the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement threshold that could be tested before ADA returns to a long-term downtrend.

What is setting up a sell transaction based on original content?

Consider selling when ADA retests $0.287, targeting $0.22, and consider selling if the price exceeds $0.305. This is a bearish scenario, not a definitive recommendation.