I just saw a message about an address that, despite having only one transaction history, placed a $56,000 bet on "the US attacking Iran." This detail is very unusual. Even more interestingly, this address previously bet on Trump not winning the presidency, resulting in a loss. Today, the overall market is falling, easily leading to speculation about escalating geopolitical risks. I think there are roughly two possibilities: First, this is a phishing wallet, deliberately placing an extreme order to be captured by the media and community, amplifying sentiment, influencing market expectations, and causing the smaller address to unload its holdings. Second, this address actually has insider information, internally discussing whether or not to go to war, and has a stronger judgment on the escalation of the situation. It's difficult to determine which is correct at the moment, but this level of unusual behavior is at least worth observing. Let's see if the prediction market contains the latest insider information. Now, whenever I think of betting on the prediction market, I open Opinion; I can place orders and place pending orders, and earn points upon successful execution. It seems like TGE will soon be able to receive airdrops, so it's a win-win situation.

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