首先我是AI死多头，唱空永远不存在的
但是短期（1-2周）要Buckle up
1.  市场正意识到越来越多“行业”正被OAI anthropic屠杀
2. 就业并不好
3. 股票市场MM非常谨慎，Bid offer变宽
4. Dealer neg gamma
5. CTA重仓位卖出概率大于买入
二月卖出会由CTA和neg gamma加剧，在更小order book产生更大影响

看了上周ADP和JOLTS后，你们还觉得周五NFP会好么？
我怎么觉得大概率得“拉一坨大的”出来呢 x.com/shanghaojin/st…

Herman Jin

Twitter

First, I'm a die-hard AI bull; I'm never bearish.

However, in the short term (1-2 weeks), we need to buckle up:

1. The market is realizing that more and more "industries" are being slaughtered by OAI anthropic.

2. Employment is not good.

3. Stock market makers are very cautious, and bid offers are widening.

4. Dealers are negating gamma.

5. CTAs with heavy positions are more likely to sell than buy. Selling in February will be exacerbated by CTAs and negating gamma, having a greater impact on smaller order books.

Bitcoin's price briefly touched $60,000 last week. Under a diminishing returns model, this is no mere noise. The market is touching the weakest link in the entire four-year cycle and logarithmic growth framework.

With the gains at the top of the Bitcoin cycle already significantly compressed, a further historically deep correction would completely negate the allure of its classic cycles.

This is not a prediction; it's a mathematical law.

Cycle Top Gains are Compressing

Historical Bitcoin Cycle Tops:

· 2013: ~$1,242

· 2017: ~$19,700

· 2021: ~...

$55,000 will be the lifeline for Bitcoin.

The government has just issued Resolution No. 23/NQ-CP following the regular government meeting in January 2026, which emphasizes the requirement for proactive, flexible, and effective monetary policy management, with close coordination...

The Vietnamese government is pushing for the operation of a gold and cryptocurrency exchange by February 28, 2026.

The crypto market experienced a sharp drop this afternoon, with Ethereum falling below the $2,000 mark at 3 PM Taiwan time, according to Hyperliquid [...]
The article, titled "Machi Big Brother Suffers Huge Losses and Didn't Sleep All Night? Ethereum Falls Below 2000 Magnesium, Panic Arrives, Opens Long BlockTempo and Loses 120,000 Magnesium," was originally published on BlockTempo, the most influential blockchain ABMedia media.

Machi Big Brother lost so much money he couldn't sleep all night? Ethereum fell below 2000, causing panic. He long positions in ETH and HYPE, then sold at a loss, losing all 120,000 in magnesium.