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This one’s gonna require a bit more patience from me.
First expectation was to snipe Yilihua—he got liquidated, ETH dragged SOL down with it. (He surrendered.)
Second, I was looking for a cascade of liquidations on SOL due to those sky-high borrow rates. (But now lending rates and utilization on most SOL protocols are back to normal.)
Third, that wick and V-shaped bounce wasn’t the bottom—we’re still in chop city.
Fourth, I’m playing the technicals and holding a $BTC short from $72k, haven’t added any SOL shorts for now.
Fifth, like I mentioned in the group last night, tonight’s a big one. First trading day after Sanae wins the election—will there be a carry trade unwind? Historically, every time Japan and the US jointly intervene (Jan 23 as an example), the yen rallies. With Sanae’s landslide win, the carry trade unwind might be bigger than any expected BoJ rate hike. (Didn’t see it reflected yet.)
I’m holding a 300k SOL short, and a smaller $BTC short.
Previous 5 mil short position was in profit, so this time on SOL I’m letting the winner ride, aiming for a bigger move.
Best advice lately: don’t bother with TA drawing games—waves, channels, whatever, I probably chart better than most.
Focus more on the macro-to-micro-to-candles trading system.
Take it or leave it, no hindsight bs here.

ALERT的会所
@BTC_Alert_
02-07
真羡慕你们抄底成功的
我已经在 $SOL 上亏损7000刀
不抄底的原因:
1.我黄金的头寸挺大的,即使反弹我也觉得黄金会猛一点,再配置新资产就会有更大的风险敞口。
2.前天我觉得市场会在周末流动性不好的时候狙击华子,但是华子退后5步的动作是认真的,没必要了。


Trading is like dating; it's inherently unpredictable.
You might have everything planned out and everything clear, but the girl can easily have a change of heart.
Just be patient and wait; if you're wrong, there's nothing to regret.
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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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