2 月 10 日，随着比特币短时跌破 69,000 美元，暂报 69,081 美元。Polymarket 上预测「比特币 2 月回升至 7.5 万美元」概率降至 49%。此外，涨至 8 万美元概率为 23%，跌至 6 万美元概率为 35%。

<div><p>2 月 10 日，随着比特币短时跌破 69,000 美元，暂报 69,081 美元。Polymarket 上预测「比特币 2 月回升至 7.5 万美元」概率降至 49%。此外，涨至 8 万美元概率为 23%，跌至 6 万美元概率为 35%。</p></div>

Polymarket上预测「比特币2月回升至7.5万美元」概率降至49%

On February 10th, Bitcoin briefly dipped below $69,000, currently trading at $69,081. Polymarket's prediction of a 49% probability of Bitcoin rebounding to $75,000 in February has decreased. Furthermore, the probability of it rising to $80,000 is 23%, while the probability of it falling to $60,000 is 35%.

<div><p>On February 10th, Bitcoin briefly dipped below $69,000, currently trading at $69,081. Polymarket&#39;s prediction of a 49% probability of Bitcoin rebounding to $75,000 in February has decreased. Furthermore, the probability of it rising to $80,000 is 23%, while the probability of it falling to $60,000 is 35%.</p></div>

Polymarket's prediction that "Bitcoin will rebound to $75,000 in February" has dropped to 49%.

Bitcoin's price briefly touched $60,000 last week. Under a diminishing returns model, this is no mere noise. The market is touching the weakest link in the entire four-year cycle and logarithmic growth framework.

With the gains at the top of the Bitcoin cycle already significantly compressed, a further historically deep correction would completely negate the allure of its classic cycles.

This is not a prediction; it's a mathematical law.

Cycle Top Gains are Compressing

Historical Bitcoin Cycle Tops:

· 2013: ~$1,242

· 2017: ~$19,700

· 2021: ~...

$55,000 will be the lifeline for Bitcoin.

The crypto market experienced a sharp drop this afternoon, with Ethereum falling below the $2,000 mark at 3 PM Taiwan time, according to Hyperliquid [...]
The article, titled "Machi Big Brother Suffers Huge Losses and Didn't Sleep All Night? Ethereum Falls Below 2000 Magnesium, Panic Arrives, Opens Long BlockTempo and Loses 120,000 Magnesium," was originally published on BlockTempo, the most influential blockchain ABMedia media.

Machi Big Brother lost so much money he couldn't sleep all night? Ethereum fell below 2000, causing panic. He long positions in ETH and HYPE, then sold at a loss, losing all 120,000 in magnesium.

Institutional demand for tokenized finance in Asia is accelerating as the finchain avalanche collaboration moves to bring traditional assets on-chain at scale.
Summary
FinChain deepens strategic coope...