Memecoin Official Trump (TRUMP) on Solana has fallen 95.5% from its peak and remains in a bearish structure, with selling pressure dominating despite occasional short-term rallies in line with the market.
TRUMP reached its peak before the inauguration of US President Donald Trump (January 20, 2025). Since then, the price has continuously created new Dip , only recovering briefly when the overall market rebounds. In early 2026, TRUMP experienced a rebound, but technical data still indicates a risk of further decline.
- TRUMP is down 42.5% from January 14, 2026, and down 95.5% from its all-time high of $73.43, trading around $3.32 at the time of writing.
- Sentiment was dragged down by the drop in Bitcoin and news of an investigation into World Liberty Financial (WLFI), which is believed to be backed by Trump.
- The $3.57–$4.09 range is the near-term retracement target, while $4.40–$4.72 could be resistance, leading to further price declines.
Trump's stock plummets after reaching a peak before his inauguration.
Trump reached its all-time high before January 20, 2025, but by early 2026 it had fallen sharply, trading around $3.32, 95.5% lower than its peak of $73.43.
After reaching an all-time high before his inauguration, Trump entered a prolonged downtrend. This memecoin continuously created new Dip , with only short pauses when the overall crypto market recovered.
The most recent surge occurred in the first week of 2026. However, since January 14, 2026, TRUMP has recorded a 42.5% decline and is currently trading at $3.32. Compared to its all-time high of $73.43 from the previous year, the cumulative decline is 95.5%.
The main reason why Trump was sold off.
The downward pressure stems from a weakening crypto market, with Bitcoin down 24.9% in three weeks, along with the negative psychological impact of the investigation into World Liberty Financial (WLFI).
In three weeks, Bitcoin (BTC) dropped 24.9%, creating a high-risk environment for volatile assets like memecoins. As defensive money flows increase, riskier Token are often Dump more aggressively than the broader market.
Beyond market factors, Trump's sentiment is also influenced by the US Congressional investigation into World Liberty Financial (WLFI), which is believed to be backed by Trump, following reports of its ties to sovereign foreign Capital . This information could increase volatility and valuation risk in the short term.
Technical signals indicate that Trump remains in a downtrend.
The 1-day timeframe maintains a bearish structure, the OBV forms a new Dip indicating overwhelming selling pressure, and the RSI around 20 reflects an extremely oversold state.
The market structure on the 1-day timeframe continues to lean toward a decline. The On-Balance Volume(OBV) indicator has formed new Dip after the rebound in early January, suggesting that selling volume predominates and demand is not yet strong enough to reverse the trend.
Meanwhile, the daily RSI has been fluctuating around 20 since last Thursday (according to the timeframe in the original text), reflecting strong oversold conditions. While oversold conditions may trigger a technical rebound, it does not necessarily mean the downtrend is over without sustained buying pressure.
The $3.57–$4.09 range is the near-term retracement target and could become a supply zone.
If Trump recovers, the imbalance zone of $3.57–$4.09 is the first target and is likely to Vai as short-term resistance.
The $3.57–$4.09 range is described as an “imbalance zone,” often a region where prices may retest after a sharp decline. However, in a dominant downtrend, this area can also easily become a short-term supply zone as investors rush to exit their positions.
If the price advances and is rejected in this area, the market could continue its downward trend. Therefore, any rebound (if it occurs) should be monitored for signs of dwindling buying pressure, rather than assuming it's a reversal point.
The $4.40–$4.72 level could trigger the next downward phase.
A retest of $4.40 or $4.72 could be the condition for Trump to create another decline if selling pressure emerges at the resistance level.
Following the $3.57–$4.09 range, the $4.40 and $4.72 levels are XEM significant local resistance. A retest of these levels in a downtrend often attracts sell-on pressure, potentially leading to a new decline.
This fits the "short-term recovery followed by further decline" scenario, especially since volume data suggests that buying pressure is not yet prominent.
The bullish scenario would only be stronger if Bitcoin surpassed $74,000.
If Bitcoin surges above $74,000, Trump could be pulled up to the $5.19 region, but the probability of this being underestimated is low due to the current weak buying pressure.
The optimistic scenario suggests that Bitcoin surpassing $74,000 could create a market-wide uplift, helping Trump recover to around $5.19. With memecoins, sensitivity to market sentiment is often high, so a "risk-on" move by BTC could amplify the recovery.
However, at the time of recording, buying pressure was considered negligible. This reduces the likelihood that Trump can sustain a longer upward trend, even with a rebound driven by the broader market.
Trading strategy: wait for a pullback and observe the reaction at resistance.
Due to the high volatility of memecoin, traders may want to wait for TRUMP to retrace to the aforementioned resistance levels and wait for a rejection signal before considering short selling in line with the trend.
Memecoin typically experiences amplified volatility when short-term sentiment shifts, so TRUMP could still rebound higher than expected in some sessions. However, given the unchanged bearish structure, the common approach is to avoid chasing rallies and wait for price reactions at nearby resistance levels.
If rejection occurs at $3.57–$4.09 or higher at $4.40–$4.72, traders may consider this a signal to follow the downtrend. Risk management is especially important because memecoin's volatility can be very large.
The risk of a new Dip below $3.02 remains.
Over the next few weeks, the possibility of Trump forming a new Dip below $3.02 is expected, extending the downtrend that has been underway for about a year.
The original forecast predicted that Trump could continue to hit new Dip below $3.02 in the coming weeks, meaning the downward trend, which has lasted for about a year, may not be over yet. With weak OBV signals and oversold RSI but no confirmation of a reversal, the risk scenario should still be prioritized.
For investors, a new Dip , if it occurs, is usually accompanied by high volatility, wide spreads, and the risk of a "false bounce." Monitoring Bitcoin's performance and related WLFI news can also significantly influence Trump's price movements.
Frequently Asked Questions
How much has Trump fallen from his historical peak?
At the time of recording, TRUMP was trading around $3.32, down 95.5% from its all-time high of $73.43.
Why did Trump's value drop sharply in early 2026?
Trump was affected by the market-wide sell-off as Bitcoin fell 24.9% in 3 weeks, and negative sentiment related to the US Congressional investigation into World Liberty Financial (WLFI), which is believed to have been supported by Trump.
What price levels should Trump watch if he recovers?
The $3.57–$4.09 range is the near-term retracement target and may represent short-term supply. If it rises higher, the $4.40–$4.72 range is where selling pressure could emerge, causing a price reversal.
When can TRUMP recover to $5.19?
This scenario is tied to a strong surge in Bitcoin exceeding $74,000, but at the time of recording, buying pressure was assessed as weak, making the likelihood of this happening lower.
Should traders wait for a pullback to trade?
Consider waiting for a pullback, as memecoin is highly volatile, then observe the reaction at resistance levels ($3.57–$4.09 or $4.40–$4.72). If clearly rejected, some traders will prefer to trade in the downtrend.
