ECI: Private-sector pay growth decelerated ever so slightly last year. Wages and salaries for private sector workers ex-incentive paid occupations was +3.38% in Q4 from a year earlier, unchanged from Q3.

Pay growth slowed more last year for workers in union or government jobs that were slower to adjust up in 2021. The reverse of that initial hockey-stick echo seems to have largely played out now.
Private non-union in 2025:
Q1: 3.3%
Q2: 3.4%
Q3: 3.5%
Q4: 3.3%


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