Wall Street expects a cooler month for headline inflation but a hotter month for core in January Headline CPI: 0.26% m/m, 2.5% y/y (down from 0.31% m/m and 2.7% y/y in December) Core CPI: 0.34% m/m, 2.5% y/y (core m/m accelerating from 0.24% in Dec, but y/y ticking down from 2.6%) Worth noting the atypically wide range on core CPI forecasts (from 0.25 to 0.42), suggesting more uncertainty about turn-of-the-year effects, with tariff passthru adding another layer of fog.

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