⭐️ January CPI Announcement Scheduled Tonight & Checkpoints 1. Expectations vs. Anxiety Ahead of the CPI Announcement - Announcement: 10:30 PM (KST) Tonight - Expected: Headline CPI 2.5% (YoY) - CPI for the past three months has fallen below Wall Street expectations → Continued slowdown 2. Related Scenarios 1) If the CPI falls below expectations: - Expectations for a Fed rate cut strengthen - Justification for a rebound in the stock market and cryptocurrencies is secured 2) If the CPI falls above expectations: - Expectations for a rate cut diminish - Additional pressure on risky assets 3. Current Market Situation (Click ↓ to view) 1) Virtual Asset Market - Bitcoin -47% from its recent high - Spot ETFs see a daily net outflow of $270 million 2) NYSE: Plunge - Dow -1.34% - S&P 500 -1.57% - Nasdaq -2.04% - Concerns about industrial restructuring due to the spread of AI Spread 3) Gold prices also plummet (safe-haven asset synchronicity) - Gold futures collapse below $5,000 - Stocks sell off to recover losses + chain of stop-loss orders triggered - Strong employment data → Expectations of interest rate cuts weigh on the downturn 4) International oil prices plummet by 2% - WTI to $62 - Expectations of Iran nuclear talks → Eased geopolitical risks - IEA demand forecast downgraded If the CPI slows today, a short-term rebound is expected. If the CPI rises, additional risk-off orders could emerge, potentially increasing volatility. I hope we get a result that allows us to enjoy a comfortable weekend. I'll review the results this evening.