Odaily星球日报讯 CPI 公布前，据 CME“美联储观察”：美联储到 3 月降息 25 个基点的概率为 9.7%，维持利率不变的概率为 90.3%。美联储到 4 月累计降息 25 个基点的概率 28.1%，维持利率不变的概率为 69.7%，累计降息 50 个基点的概率为 2.2%。到 6 月累计降息 25 个基点的概率为 49.4%。

<p>Odaily星球日报讯 CPI 公布前，据 CME“美联储观察”：美联储到 3 月降息 25 个基点的概率为 9.7%，维持利率不变的概率为 90.3%。美联储到 4 月累计降息 25 个基点的概率 28.1%，维持利率不变的概率为 69.7%，累计降息 50 个基点的概率为 2.2%。到 6 月累计降息 25 个基点的概率为 49.4%。</p>

CPI公布前美联储3月维持利率不变的概率为90.3%

According to CME's "Odaily" before the CPI release, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by March was 9.7%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged was 90.3%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by April was 28.1%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged was 69.7%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut was 2.2%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by June was 49.4%.

<p>According to CME&#39;s &quot;Odaily&quot; before the CPI release, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by March was 9.7%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged was 90.3%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by April was 28.1%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged was 69.7%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut was 2.2%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by June was 49.4%.</p>

The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 90.3% before the CPI release.

This trader made a total of 48 predictions of market movements within 15 minutes, earning a net profit of $80,000 in one day.

Earning $80,000 a day, this top player treats Polymarket like an ATM.

The leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin ($BTC), has fallen again after recovering to $70,000. Bitcoin is trading around $67,000, while Ethereum (ETH) is trading around $1,960, as US January inflation data...

BREAKING! US Inflation Data Released! Here’s Bitcoin’s (BTC) Initial Reaction!

Original article | Odaily Odaily(@OdailyChina)
Author | Ethan (@ethanzhang_web3)
One night some time ago, I saw an interesting debate in a crypto trader group.
It all started when someone posted a screenshot of Nvidia's stock price breaking $190, captioned: "I told you guys to allocate some US stocks, now you regret it, right?" The group chat exploded instantly. Some complained about the hassle of opening a brokerage account, others grumbled about the agonizingly slow cross-border fund transfers, and still others simply said, "My USDT is just sitting in my wallet, I want to buy..."