这次伊朗的反击明显比去年6月十二日战争期间一开始就是扩大范围了，当时伊朗只是跟以色列对轰，这一次一开始就把美军在中东的基地（巴林是美国第五舰队司令部驻地）纳入攻击范围。同时胡塞武装恢复对红海走廊的袭击。

“咆哮的狮子”行动美以对伊朗已经开打，后续怎么看？昨晚的推文最后有聊到，“从战略时机上看，此刻似乎确实存在一个“窗口期”。伊朗的区域代理网络在与以色列的多轮冲突中受到削弱，经济制裁长期积压导致内部的压力几度爆发，国内社会不满情绪并未完全消散。对一个擅长抓“窗口”的政治人物来说，这样的时  x.com/qinbafrank/sta…

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This Iranian counterattack is significantly larger in scope than the initial conflict on June 12th last year, when Iran was only exchanging fire with Israel. This time, it immediately included US bases in the Middle East (Bahrain is the headquarters of the US Fifth Fleet) within its attack range. Simultaneously, the Houthi rebels resumed attacks on the Red Sea corridor.

Boris Cherny, head of the Anthropic Claude Code, announced that starting in April 2026 [...]
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