「美国与伊朗在……之前停火」未能实现

According to ME News, on March 2 (UTC+8), prediction market data showed that the trading volume of "US and Iran ceasefire before..." reached $1.6M in the past 24 hours, indicating a significant increase in market participation.

According to ME News, on March 2 (UTC+8), prediction market data showed that the trading volume of &quot;US and Iran ceasefire before...&quot; reached $1.6M in the past 24 hours, indicating a significant increase in market participation.

The "ceasefire between the US and Iran prior to..." failed to materialize.

Arthur Hayes recently published an analysis suggesting that the US's continued involvement in tensions with Iran could support Bitcoin prices in the medium and long term. Hayes argues that since 198...

Arthur Hayes: The more the US gets bogged down in Iran, the greater the chance Bitcoin has to rise in price.

Editor's Note: From the Gulf War to the global war on terror, and then to the troop surge in Afghanistan, US military operations in the Middle East have spanned almost the entire international political cycle of the past few decades. Accompanying these wars are not only geopolitical conflicts and massive fiscal expenditures, but also an often overlooked variable: monetary policy.

This article reviews several key wars since 1990, examining the subtle relationship between war, fiscal pressure, and Federal Reserve policy: following numerous Middle East conflicts, the Federal Reserve has often stabilized the economy and financial markets through interest rate cuts or easing policies. Based on this, Arthur Ha...

Arthur Hayes: Is every Middle East war an opportunity to long on Bitcoin?

Author: CryptoSlate
Compiled by: TechFlow TechFlow
TechFlow Summary: This article clarifies a structural issue that is easily overlooked: Bitcoin ETFs are not the floor, but rather a conditional buyer. A net outflow of $3.8 billion over five weeks is not just a poorly calculated figure, but rather a sign that the most stable door for institutions was quietly closed at the height of tariff uncertainty. The data reversed after February 20th, but whether this reversal is a genuine signal or a tactical maneuver is worth careful consideration. The author provides three pathways and four indicators to observe.
The full text is as follows:
Bitcoin ETF...