According to Odaily Seer , in Polymarket's prediction event that "the US and Iran will cease fire by March 31," an account with a win rate of over 88% (0x848921be10e51b1547d50548a54b38a1778ec184) purchased approximately $55,000 in "no" directional positions.
The account currently holds approximately $549,000 in total positions related to this event, with an opening price of approximately 82¢ and a current price of approximately 82.5¢, corresponding to approximately 666,000 shares.
Tensions in the Middle East have remained high recently, with the US and Iran making repeated progress in ceasefire negotiations. Market expectations for a ceasefire in the short term are divided, leading to a continued rise in trading volume related to this event.
Odaily Seer continuously focuses on the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.




