Some people didn't see my previous post about cutting losses on spot positions and don't know that I stopped all my spot losses. Some people who were just watching the drama said, "Aren't you afraid if it's not spot? Isn't spot trading supposed to be a long-term strategy?" My cryptocurrency trading has always been guided by macroeconomics and aimed at cyclical trends. Looking back, my timing for establishing positions was flawed. Firstly, my two precise top-selling attempts last year, which earned me accolades, stemmed from excessive overconfidence. Secondly, I shouldn't have gone all - in, which was driven by greed after that overconfidence. In the first phase, I established positions in BTC, ETH, SOL, UNI, LINK, OKB, etc. By the second phase, when I stopped losses on most altcoins and switched to BTC, keeping only OKB, I fully realized my position-building mistakes and could only rely on time. The third phase involved a 50% loss, stemming from the war, a point I've discussed in my recent tweets. With the war ongoing and crude oil prices remaining high, an escalation of the war could lead to uncontrollable oil prices. Crude oil is the root cause of inflation. The Federal Reserve's March meeting clearly stated: no interest rate cuts, upward revision of inflation expectations, and retention of the option to raise interest rates. The best outcome is range-bound trading, with downside risks outweighing upside potential. At this point, reducing positions and holding a defensive stance is a rational choice.

It's time to buy the dips.