BTC: Summary of discussions in Orange's muted group (daily market analysis) (09:00:11 ~ 10:00:11)

1. Current Recommended Direction BTC rebounded after finding support again at $65,000, but the rebound was weak and should not be overestimated. The monthly chart ended a six-month losing streak and entered a consolidation phase, with a strong rebound expected in the second half of the year. In the short term, if the Middle East conflict does not escalate, a weak upward correction is expected on the 4-hour chart, but the key is whether it can hold above $72,000. It is recommended to remain on the sidelines and wait for clear confirmation of a de-escalation before making any tentative positions, avoiding the risk of chasing highs and overextending. 2. Position and Risk Management Recommendations It is recommended to enter with a small position and gradually observe the performance at the $72,000 level. If it effectively holds, consider adding to the position. The stop-loss point can be set near the support level below $65,000 to prevent a rapid drop due to a sudden change in the situation. Short-term trading should strictly control position size and stop-loss to avoid drastic fluctuations caused by the uncertainty of the war. The monthly correction is not yet over, and heavy positions are not recommended at this time. 3. Suitable Trading Style This strategy is suitable for a stable medium-term investment approach, focusing on geopolitical situations and changes in macroeconomic risks as catalysts. Short-term aggressive trading carries significant risk; quick entry and exit are recommended to avoid holding positions for too long. Once the war subsides and BTC stabilizes above key resistance levels, trend investors can gradually add to their positions to position for a rebound in the second half of the year. The overall operational rhythm should be "gradual testing and steady progress."