The article "Covering My Chest" is an overview of recent articles, offering valuable guidance for both the stock and cryptocurrency markets. However, this series is quite lengthy, so I've used AI to distill the "Covering My Chest Skill" for those interested. It comprises 4 core analytical skills + 3 investment decision-making skills, presented concisely and clearly: 1. Core Analytical Skill (Geopolitical Game Theory Judgment) 1.) Objectivity + Comprehensiveness All publicly available information must be collected to understand the true demands of all parties. Personal emotions/preferences must be resolutely eliminated (disliking Trump or abhorring Iran will lead to bias). 2.) Strictly Avoid Linear Extrapolation Do not make simple inferences based on "A is strong → will win quickly" or "B has a local asymmetric advantage → is invincible." Each time, specific differences must be compared (political system, constraints, cards, etc.) to avoid applying past experience (such as the Taco trade war) to new scenarios. 3.) Dynamic Perspective from Game Theory Focus on changes in the mentality and goals of both sides, rather than static comparisons of strength. Example: One side shifts from "desiring complete regime change" to "only seeking a dignified withdrawal"; the other side shifts from "remaining tough to the end" to "wanting living space." Neither side wants a protracted stalemate, which is often the basis for "conditional peace." 4.) Continuously track the dynamic evolution of strength and mentality. Pay attention to constraints (economic sustainability, regime stability, infrastructure damage, etc.). Infrastructure, industrial facilities, financial warfare, and information warfare have become the main battlefields of modern games, rather than simply seizing territory. 2. Investment Decision-Making Skills (Translating Geopolitical Judgments into Position Actions) 1.) Fundamentals are always paramount; macro/geopolitical factors are secondary. When stock prices enter a high-value range, positions can be gradually built without waiting for the macro/geopolitical situation to become fully clear. 2.) When the market has priced in the worst-case scenario, that's the opportunity. Once the situation reverses and the worst-case scenario is quickly eliminated, sentiment will quickly recover → forming a reversal trend. 3.) Identify changes in driving logic and avoid grand narratives. Markets typically have multiple driving themes, with different dominant logics at different stages (for example, during earnings season, the shortage of AI computing power might suddenly become a new driving force). Grand narratives are often linear extrapolations. In practice, the most important factors are objectivity, understanding the transmission logic, and awareness of market psychology changes. To summarize the blogger's core skill in one sentence: Analyze geopolitics using an objective, dynamic, and game-theoretic framework, avoiding emotional and linear thinking; then map the analysis results to fundamental-priority investment decisions, acting decisively when the most pessimistic expectations have been digested by the market.

I've been learning too 😁🫡🫡