Financial conditions might have just stopped tightening.
After weeks of deterioration, the NFCI is starting to stabilize, driven by improving credit conditions and a pause in de-risking.
Bitcoin tends to struggle when conditions tighten and perform better when they ease.
If this stabilization turns back into a sustained easing trend, it removes a key headwind for Bitcoin.
Not a tailwind yet, but the pressure is starting to lift.

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Samson Mow, a prominent Bitcoin supporter, entrepreneur, and CEO of Jan3, recently predicted that the “Omega candle” and the $1 million Bitcoin (BTC) level “are very close.”
This Bitcoin advocate argues that the source of supply...

Experts believe Bitcoin reaching $1 million and the "Omega candle" pattern are very close.

Original Author: Frank, MSX Maiton Two months have passed since the US-Israel joint strike against Iran.

On February 28th, the assassination of Iran's Supreme Leader Khamenei and the sudden closure of the Strait of Hormuz, according to market intuition honed over decades, seemed like a straightforward trading formula—war breaks out, oil prices rise, safe-haven demand increases, gold surges, and tech stocks face pressure.

However, the capital markets of 2026 have delivered a more complex and counterintuitive answer: Gold did not continue its upward surge following the traditional safe-haven logic; instead, it fell sharply from its January highs;...

A Retrospective on the 60-Day War: Has the Global Capital Market's Pricing of "War" Really Changed?

RWA's narrative is not that traditional crypto is trying to steal users from crypto, but rather that crypto is trying to steal users from traditional crypto.

Re-examining RWA: Nearly 50,000 people's first on-chain transaction wasn't Bitcoin, but rather stock indices and crude oil.

Markets are clearly shrugging off macro risks right now.
But this only works if financial conditions actually keep improving.
If tightening resumes, this window closes quickly.