Data interpretation of zkSync’s current situation: Airdrop effect fails as profits shrink, and official inaction leads to a weak ecosystem

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PANews
05-07
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Author: Nancy, PANews

Recently, the news about zkSync's upcoming coin issuance and the prediction of airdrop rules have caused market discussions. After reviewing zkSync's data this year, PANews found that although zkSync's market size is still in a leading position, its user participation willingness is decreasing, and its profit capture ability is also greatly reduced. This is closely related to its airdrop PUA that has lasted for several years, the poor quality of ecological projects, and the neglect of user rights.

There are few high TVL ecological projects and they are of a single type. The profits on the chain rely on Ga income but have shrunk significantly.

To date, according to L2BEAT data, as of May 6, the total locked volume of zkSync Era was nearly US$850 million, an increase of about 44.1% from the beginning of the year, ranking eighth among L2 projects.

Data interpretation of zkSync’s current situation: Airdrop effect fails as profits shrink, and official inaction leads to a weak ecosystem

However, the zkSync ecological projects with high TVL are relatively single and few in number. The zkSync official website shows that as of May 6, although its ecological projects have reached 243, covering DeFi, games, trading markets, NFT, Social, wallets and DEX, data from DeFiLlama also shows that only 4 zkSync projects have a TVL of over 10 million US dollars, accounting for nearly 66% of the total locked volume. At the same time, among the TVL Top 10 projects, most are from DEX and lending tracks. Its ecological dilemma also greatly affects the degree of user participation.

In terms of the number of users and the scale of funds, zkSync Era has achieved good growth this year. Dune data shows that as of May 6, the number of zkSync Era users has reached nearly 3.13 million, an increase of 16.3% from the beginning of this year; the total amount of ETH bridged exceeds 3.22 million, an increase of 38.8% from the beginning of the year. However, the average number of ETH bridged by users is only 1.37, and more than 80% of users have less than 1 ETH bridged, and only 1.3% of the address balance exceeds 10 ETH. From this point of view, although the airdrop expectation of zkSync is still attractive, users are more inclined to low-cost investment.

The participation of a large number of Rollup parties has also brought huge benefits to zkSync Era. The latest data from Dune shows that as of May 1, after deducting the cost of publishing data to L1 and the cost of verifying proofs on L1, zkSync Era has generated profits of about 1,848 ETH from Gas in the past four months, accounting for 10.3% of the total profit of the Rollup chain, but there is still a clear gap with Base, Arbitrum and Scroll, and the monthly profit has shown a trend of a sharp decline.

Data interpretation of zkSync’s current situation: Airdrop effect fails as profits shrink, and official inaction leads to a weak ecosystem

 zkSync Era on-chain profit data source: Dune@niftytable

Among them, since the beginning of this year, zkSync Era has received a total of 7,678 ETH in transaction fees, accounting for only nearly 17.3% of the total. And from the perspective of monthly transaction fee changes, it shows a continuous downward trend from month to month, among which the fees captured in April fell by about 88.9% compared with January; the cost required to send to L1 each month has dropped by nearly 96.2%, and the performance is still better than competing products such as Arbitrum, OP Mainnet, Base, Starknet and Linea; the cost of verification proof on L1 reached 1,541 ETH this year, accounting for 49.7% of the total. In other words, zkSync Era's on-chain profits mainly come from Gas income, but they have shrunk significantly.

Data interpretation of zkSync’s current situation: Airdrop effect fails as profits shrink, and official inaction leads to a weak ecosystem

L2 monthly transaction fee changes data source: Dune@niftytable

User rights are ignored under intensive Rug, and the community accuses the official of inaction

The failure to protect user rights and official inaction are causing zkSync to lose the trust of the community.

Although there are many on-chain accidents and Rug incidents in the crypto dark forest, the zkSync ecological project and the official indifference to user rights are becoming one of the important reasons why its market scale is difficult to expand.

For example, the Zksync lending protocol Eralend suffered a total loss of approximately US$3.4 million due to a flash loan attack, but not only did it fail to recover the stolen funds, it also did not make corresponding compensation to users; after the zkSync ecological lending platform xBank Finance suffered a loss of US$550,000 due to a hacker attack, its liquidity was close to zero. Although it stated that it was contacting the attacker to recover user funds through white hat bounties, it also did not mention the issue of compensation for users; the decentralized entertainment platform ZKasino was questioned for soft Rug after forcibly exchanging more than 10,000 ETH user pledged deposits for platform coins. Afterwards, the official did not respond to the private modification of the rules and the whereabouts of the funds, and transferred the funds in batches. At present, the Netherlands Fiscal Investigation Bureau has arrested suspects in the ZKasino fraud case and seized his assets of 11 million euros.

Faced with the severe damage to user interests, zkSync officials have never made any relevant response or improvement measures, which also reflects its poor management of the ecosystem. The excessively low cost of doing evil has become one of the important reasons for its chaos.

In this regard, many community members expressed dissatisfaction that the zkSync team did not take on the responsibility of ecological construction, including supporting some high-quality projects, but allowed various Rug projects to run rampant. Although the official has repeatedly emphasized the importance of the community, it has turned a blind eye to the evil deeds of the project and the rights of users. Compared with the community, zkSync is more concerned about Gas income.

From this point of view, at a time when L2 is being launched intensively in the market, as the airdrop effect becomes increasingly ineffective, if zkSync does not pay attention to ecosystem construction and user interests, it will face greater challenges.

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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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