The market’s short-lived rally isn’t something to be too worried about, analysts say

This is a segment from the Empire newsletter. To read full editions, <a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/empire" rel="nofollow">subscribe</a>.<hr>Well, so much for a rebound after last week.Instead, the market is reacting to a whole new set of issues — ones that aren’t tied to ByBit or North Korean hackers. President Donald Trump’s announcement that the US will proceed with 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico today sent both traditional equities and crypto into a freefall. The overall crypto market cap is now sitting at $2.82 trillion, an 11% decrease over the past day, according to Blockworks Research data. Yikes. Bitcoin is in the low $80,000’s, a far cry from the $90,000 level we cheerfully retook after President Trump posted about the strategic reserve. Over on Derive.xyz, “traders are showing strong demand for high-leverage calls, with 49.4% of BTC premiums and 45.5% of ETH premiums being calls bought. This indicates that traders are seeking upside exposure in the wake of the large price fluctuations.”This shouldn’t be too surprising if you’ve been following the price action. But “BTC’s 7-day implied volatility jumped from 47% to 70%, and 30-day volatility rose from 47% to 55%,” Dr. Sean Dawson, head of research at Dervive.xyz, noted. Following the rally, the volatility temporarily settled but it’s since spiked again.<figure><img alt="" src="https://static.fwimg.io/img/feed/6e8f85ab7b0abe620a93e782a099688d.jpg"></figure>Matt Mena, crypto research strategist at 21Shares, told me: “[T]he market reaction reflects renewed fears of inflationary pressures and economic uncertainty, but this selloff appears to be an overreaction. Many investors had anticipated these moves, and as futures markets adjust overnight, we could see stabilization when trading resumes [this morning].”Yesterday, I thought I had aptly named the PayPal section “green shoots” but it turns out today’s the day with some actual green shoots — at least if you ask Mena. “Despite the short-term volatility, the long-term outlook for the crypto sector remains bright. Notably, CME Solana futures are scheduled to begin trading on March 17, a significant milestone that could accelerate the SEC’s approval timeline for Solana spot ETFs,” he added.Whether or not movement around SOL ETFs reignites a rally remains to be seen. But basing it off of what we’re currently witnessing, I’m a skeptic. While folks like Eric Trump encourage people to buy the dips, I take a bit more of a cautious position. There’s nothing wrong with taking advantage of lower prices, but there are a lot of unknowns currently — and no market reacts well to that. <figure><div><blockquote>Never fade Eric Trump <a href="https://t.co/FcQAM5A79I" rel="nofollow">pic.twitter.com/FcQAM5A79I</a>— Gordon (@AltcoinGordon) <a href="https://twitter.com/AltcoinGordon/status/1896461650603176309?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="nofollow">March 3, 2025</a></blockquote></div></figure>Don’t believe me? Let’s take a look at some altcoin data from Kaiko. <figure><img alt="" src="https://static.fwimg.io/img/feed/9597c553704b6d430422e1db3e665dff.jpg"><figcaption>Look at that volatility</figcaption></figure>“A year ago, the top 10 altcoins by market cap accounted for 58% of altcoin volume on U.S. platforms and 50% on offshore exchanges. As of last week, those shares had risen to 77% and 66%, respectively,” Kaiko noted. Pantera’s Paul Veradittakit <a href="https://blockworks.co/news/retail-defensive-measures" rel="nofollow">told us yesterday</a> that we could see a potential increase in the likelihood of an altcoin season. This type of volatility seems to put that hope on the backburner for now. What’s clear is that we’re continuing in the same market that we’ve been in for the last few weeks and it doesn’t look like we’ve broken the pattern yet. If anyone has a crystal ball, you know how to reach me.<hr>Get the news in your inbox. Explore Blockworks newsletters:<ul><li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/daily" rel="nofollow">Blockworks Daily</a>: The newsletter that helps thousands of investors understand crypto and the markets, by Byron Gilliam.</li><li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/empire" rel="nofollow">Empire</a>: Start your day with top crypto insights from David Canellis and Katherine Ross.</li><li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/onthemargin" rel="nofollow">Forward Guidance</a>: Explore the growing intersection between crypto, macroeconomics, policy and finance with Ben Strack, Casey Wagner and Felix Jauvin.</li><li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/research" rel="nofollow">0xResearch</a>: Get alpha directly in your inbox — market highlights, charts, degen trade ideas, governance updates, and more.</li><li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/lightspeed" rel="nofollow">Lightspeed</a>: All things Solana, in your inbox, every day from Jack Kubinec and Jeff Albus.</li><li><a href="https://blockworks.co/newsletter/thedrop" rel="nofollow">The Drop</a>: The newsletter for crypto collectors and traders, covering games, tokens, apps, memes and more.</li></ul>

‘Short-term volatility’ doesn’t dim crypto outlook: 21Shares

시장의 단기적인 반등은 너무 걱정할 만한 것이 아니라고 분석가들은 말합니다.

GM(Good Morning), 비트코인(BTC), 이더리움(ETH), 에이다(ADA), 라이트코인(LTC), 솔라나(SOL), 크립토닷컴 코인(CRO), 후오비 토큰(HT), 밸런서(BAL), 옵티미즘(OP), 이더리움 네임서비스(ENS), 알위브(AR), 치아(XCH), 온톨로지(ONT), 밈(meme), 앱토스(APT), 알케미페이(ACH), 너보스(CKB), 플레이댑(PLA), Ronin(RON), 온톨로지가스(ONG), 엔케이엔(NKN), 디젠(Degen), 팔로인(Followin), 신고가, 바이비트(Bybit), 솔라나(Solana), 트론(TRON), 다이(Dai), 덴트(Dent), 렌(Ren), 킨(Kin), 리프(Reef), 비트(Bit), 블록, 하락, 숏, 거래량, 초당 거래 수(TPS), 초기 코인공개(ICO), 인터컨티넨탈 거래소, 유동성 공급자(LP), 거래량.

'단기 변동성'은 암호화폐 전망을 어둡게 하지 않는다: 21주식

앞서 말씀드린 것처럼, 주요 지지/저항선에서 매매할 것입니다!

만약 해당 레벨 위에서 안정적으로 유지된다면, 이전 고점을 목표로 삼을 수 있습니다!

만약 돌파에 실패하더라도 바로 매도 포지션을 잡지는 마십시오. 하락 시에는 되돌림이 발생하여 비용 효율이 떨어질 수 있습니다. 따라서 더 짧은 기간의 차트에서 하락 추세가 나타나지 않는 한 매매를 피하는 것이 좋습니다.

거래 신호 | BTC

베어장 (Bear Market) 배움에 좋은 시기입니다. S 레벨 알파를 극대화하기 위한 최고의 RSI 활용 팁을 소개합니다.
당신이 과거에 사용했던 방법들은 완전히 잘못되었으며, RSI는 결코 초보자용 지표가 아닙니다.
RSI는 상대강도지수(Relative Strength Index)의 약자로, 모멘텀 지표라는 점을 알아두는 것이 중요합니다.
초기에는 과매수 및 과매도 상태를 이용하여 시장을 이해했지만, 최근에는 RSI 다이버전스를 활용하여 시장을 분석하는 경우가 많아졌습니다.
하지만 RSI의 가장 큰 장점은 추세 추종 거래에서 다이버전스와 되돌림을 식별하는 능력에 있으며, 이는 주요 추세 중에 진입하는 데 핵심적인 요소입니다.
사실 RSI에는 크게 두 가지 전략이 있습니다.
1. 혜택...

알파 셰어링 | 90%의 사람들이 모르는 RSI 활용법

미국 오전 거래에서 암호화폐 시장은 큰 변동성을 보였습니다. 비트 비트코인(BTC) 은 불과 몇 분 만에 87,000달러 부근에서 90,000달러 이상까지 급등했다가 다시 87,000달러로 되돌아왔습니다.