Pima

Pima

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Co-Founder@ContinueCapital,Build the Crypto World

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Signal Clone Analysis

The books one reads and the stocks one invests in best reflect one's perspective on the world at a particular point in time. "A big drop is a good time to switch stocks." EPS-driven price increases will dominate this year's market. Micron $SNDK Dazi INTC $LITE $RKLB

'Get me out': Traders dump software stocks as AI fears erupt Sometimes, amidst major technological waves, the demands on understanding rise dramatically. The primary factors influencing the development of things differ across different periods and historical contexts, making me increasingly aware that nothing is truly immutable. If something is, it might be due to insufficient timeframe or experience, such as within a 30- or 60-year timeframe. For the past two decades, SaaS, characterized by "light assets, high profit margins, and high growth," was the domain of fervent investors. However, since the accelerated and in-depth development of AI last year, while Claude Google and OpenAI consistently deliver groundbreaking product launches, SaaS software is being pushed to its grave. The indiscriminate flow of good and bad isn't frightening; what's frightening is structural differentiation. This indicates that there are aspects you haven't seen or understood, where changes are quietly taking place.

Professor Kim, the father of HBM, has truly provided SK and the current [company name - 2024111120230] with a large number of protégés. Forget about costs, look to the future.

A single thing is influenced by many factors, and different eras have different dominant factors. This makes it difficult to have a single, unchanging investment strategy. If one does, it might be due to an insufficient time frame (e.g., extending to 30-50 years). If the main factors are not firmly grasped or are influenced by noise, it's easy to be swept away by market fluctuations. The impact of AI on silver, copper, and uranium is fundamental and long-term. Understanding the second derivative of investment will inevitably lead from gold to silver and then to current mining stocks. Upward revisions to EPS are inevitable and delayed, ignoring noise. $SCCO Barrick Mining $CCJ $WPM

Elon Musk claims SpaceX will reach 100GW of solar power capacity in three years. Amazon is acquiring copper mines, so why hasn't Musk targeted silver mines in the Americas yet?

Russell 2000 EPS growth forecast of 67% is a bit exaggerated, but I am indeed more optimistic about the Russell 2000. Any growth stemming from EPS is genuine growth. It's secondary factors like liquidity and interest rate cuts that warrant caution. The structural opportunities brought by the new technology wave are everywhere. Claude's evolutionary pace will continue to accelerate, the marginal cost of software development will approach zero, and the monopoly of large companies will be severely challenged, giving numerous startups opportunities. At the same time, we should see three or four companies fall behind in the MEGA 7 this year, their gross margins being swallowed up by energy and electricity. The infrastructure dividends enjoyed by internet giants for over a decade will be gone forever. Who would have thought that one day the balance sheets of these giants would show electricity and mineral depreciation? A deeper restructuring is still ongoing. There is no such thing as an "old Deng" asset, only an "old Deng" that is out of step with the times.

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