After careful consideration, I believe this penalty signals a potential decoupling of the US and Chinese capital markets. Consider the timing: shortly after Trump's visit to China, on the eve of SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI's IPOs, and amidst consecutive record highs in US stocks...
The current clearing out of Tiger Brokers and Futu users is tantamount to cutting off the mainland capital line for Chinese concept stocks. This should also be a precaution against financial risks in the United States. Looking back at Didi's delisting in 2021, the wave of Chinese concept stock listings was ended. In 2022, state-owned companies such as China Mobile returned to Hong Kong to avoid risks. And from 2023 to now, more and more Chinese concept stock companies have dual-listed in Hong Kong.
The emergence of China's first generation of US stock investors and the rise of Tiger Brokers and Futu were actually a result of the boom in Chinese concept stock listings. Now, it's simply a matter of reverting to the past, a move in a larger strategic game. Therefore, the regulatory action this time is unlikely to be aimed at eliminating Tiger Brokers and Futu, similar to the crackdown on crypto exchanges in 2021. People are still playing the game. The winners of this event should be Web3, Singapore, Hong Kong stocks, and the A-share financial sector. The common thread is their ability to absorb funds, allowing retail investors to still enter the "casino."