The latest price moves in bitcoin (BTC) and crypto markets in context for Nov. 4, 2024. First Mover is CoinDesk’s daily newsletter that contextualizes the latest actions in the crypto markets.

<div><div><div><p><i><b>This article originally appeared in </b></i><a href="https://www.coindesk.com/newsletters/first-mover/" rel="nofollow"><i><b>First Mover</b></i></a><i><b>, CoinDesk’s daily newsletter, putting the latest moves in crypto markets in context. </b></i><a href="https://www.coindesk.com/newsletters/first-mover/" rel="nofollow"><i><b>Subscribe to get it in your inbox every day</b></i></a><i><b>.</b></i></p></div></div><div><div><h2>Latest Prices</h2></div></div><div><div><p>CoinDesk 20 Index: 2,008.80 +0.39%</p></div></div></div><div><div><div></div></div></div><div><div><div><p>Bitcoin (BTC): $68,897.73 +0.86%</p></div></div><div><div><p>Ether (ETH): $2,473.42 +0.81%</p></div></div><div><div><p>S&amp;P 500: 5,728.80 +0.41%</p></div></div><div><div><p>Gold: $2,742.19 +0.38%</p></div></div><div><div><p>Nikkei 225: 38,053.67 -2.63%</p></div></div><div><div><h2>Top Stories</h2></div></div><div><div><p><b>Bitcoin and other major cryptos </b><a href="https://www.coindesk.com/price/bitcoin/" rel="nofollow"><b>traded little changed</b></a><b> on the final day before the U.S. presidential election.</b> BTC edged back toward $69,000, around 0.8% higher in the last 24 hours. The broader digital asset market was more muted, rising less than 0.5%. From being a few dollars away from a new record last week, bitcoin pulled back to a low of $67,600 on Sunday, seemingly in tandem with a retreat in the more pro-crypto Donald Trump's chances of election victory. With only hours remaining before the first polls open in some eastern states, it seems traders are sitting on their hands until they have a clearer picture of where this one is headed.</p></div></div></div><div><div><div></div></div></div><div><div><div><p><b>Perceived winning odds of Democrat </b><a href="https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2024/11/04/harris-and-trump-bets-near-even-odds-ahead-of-us-election-day-as-voter-fraud-rumors-swirl/" rel="nofollow"><b>Kamala Harris continue to rise on betting platform Polymarket</b></a><b>, with users buying and selling hundreds of thousands of favored shares in a bump for market activity.</b> Shares of Harris winning the election surged to 43 cents ahead of Tuesday’s vote, up from 33 cents on Oct. 30. Republican Donald Trump’s shares fell, dropping from 66 cents to 57 cents. Meanwhile, polling aggregator Real Clear Polling gives Trump a microscopic edge at 48.5%-48.4%. The increase in Harris' odds might be due to traders hedging their bets, according to a CoinDesk analysis, with a study of trades above $10,000 suggesting both large bets on Harris and strategic trading to protect against a Trump loss.</p></div></div></div><div><div><div></div></div></div><div><div><div><p><b>Singapore's central bank said it will </b><a href="https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2024/11/04/singapore-pushes-for-commercialization-of-tokenization/" rel="nofollow"><b>introduce new measures to advance tokenization in financial services</b></a><b>.</b> The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) wishes to form commercial networks to deepen liquidity of tokenized assets, develop an ecosystem of market infrastructures, foster industry frameworks for tokenized asset implementation and enable access to common settlement facilities for tokenized assets. "We are encouraged by the keen participation from financial institutions and fellow policymakers to co-create industry standards and risk management frameworks to facilitate commercial deployment of tokenized capital markets products, and scale tokenized markets on an industry wide basis,” Leong Sing Chiong, deputy managing director for markets and development, said.</p></div></div></div><div><div><div></div></div></div><div><div><div><h2>Chart of the Day</h2></div></div><div><div><figure><picture><source></source><source></source><source></source><source></source><source></source><source></source><img src="https://www.coindesk.com/resizer/XFz-dXzKBglhCCeHlheLyGAwZD8=/560x315/filters:quality(80):format(jpg)/cloudfront-us-east-1.images.arcpublishing.com/coindesk/EDFG7BNZGNBJJBT6UDVSW4GMEY.png" alt="COD FMA, Nov. 4 2024 (MacroMicro)"></picture><figcaption><span>(MacroMicro)</span></figcaption></figure></div></div><div><div><ul><li><div>The chart shows yields on the U.S. 10-year note and the three-month bill, the spread between the two and the S&amp;P 500 since 1985.</div></li><li><div>The spread is fast de-inverting, just 20 basis points short of normalizing or turning positive.</div></li><li><div>Previous de-inversions were characterized by a renewed downtrend in the S&amp;P 500 and presaged U.S. recessions marked by vertical shaded portions.</div></li><li><div>The latest de-inversion, however, may not be bearish for stocks and other risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, as it is accompanied by an acceleration in money supply, which tends to be a bullish signal for scarce digital assets like bitcoin, André Dragosch, Bitwise's director, head of research for Europe.</div></li><li><div>Source: MacroMicro</div></li></ul></div></div></div><div><div><div></div></div></div><div><div><div><p><i>- Omkar Godbole</i></p></div></div><div><div><h2>Trending Posts</h2></div></div><div><div><ul><li><div><a href="https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2024/11/04/bitcoin-likely-to-rally-after-the-us-election-irrespective-of-who-wins-history-shows-van-straten/" rel="nofollow"><b>Bitcoin Likely to Rally After the U.S. Election, Irrespective of Who Wins, History Shows</b></a></div></li><li><div><a href="https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2024/11/04/citi-fidelity-exhibit-proof-of-concept-for-real-time-forex-swap-onchain/" rel="nofollow"><b>Citi, Fidelity Exhibit Proof-of-Concept for Real-Time Forex Swap Onchain</b></a></div></li><li><div><a href="https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2024/11/02/ethereum-researchers-relinquish-eigenlayer-roles-over-conflict-of-interest-concerns/" rel="nofollow"><b>Ethereum Researchers Relinquish EigenLayer Roles Over Conflict of Interest Concerns</b></a></div></li></ul></div></div><div><p>Edited by Sheldon Reback.</p></div></div>

First Mover Americas: BTC Little Changed as U.S. Election Enters Final Stretch

2024年11月4日比特币(BTC)和加密货币市场的最新价格走势。 <First Mover>是CoinDesk的每日新闻通讯,它为您提供加密货币市场最新动态的背景信息。

<div><div><div><p><i><b>本文最初发表于</b></i><a href="https://www.coindesk.com/newsletters/first-mover/" rel="nofollow"><i><b>First Mover</b></i></a><i><b>，CoinDesk的每日通讯,将加密货币市场的最新动态置于背景之中。</b></i><a href="https://www.coindesk.com/newsletters/first-mover/" rel="nofollow"><i><b>订阅以在您的收件箱中获取每日更新</b></i></a><i><b>。</b></i></p></div></div><div><div><h2>最新价格</h2></div></div><div><div><p>CoinDesk 20指数: 2,008.80 +0.39%</p></div></div></div><div><div><div></div></div></div><div><div><div><p>比特币(BTC): $68,897.73 +0.86%</p></div></div><div><div><p>以太(ETH): $2,473.42 +0.81%</p></div></div><div><div><p>标普500: 5,728.80 +0.41%</p></div></div><div><div><p>黄金: $2,742.19 +0.38%</p></div></div><div><div><p>日经225: 38,053.67 -2.63%</p></div></div><div><div><h2>头条新闻</h2></div></div><div><div><p><b>比特币和其他主要加密货币</b><a href="https://www.coindesk.com/price/bitcoin/" rel="nofollow"><b>在美国总统选举前夕基本持平</b></a><b>。</b> BTC重新接近69,000美元,过去24小时上涨约0.8%。整个数字资产市场涨幅较小,不到0.5%。从上周接近创纪录高位到现在,比特币下跌至67,600美元的低点,似乎与亲加密货币的唐纳德·特朗普当选胜算下降有关。在东部某些州的首次投票开始前几个小时,交易者似乎正在观望,等待更清晰的局势走向。</p></div></div></div><div><div><div></div></div></div><div><div><div><p><b>民主党人</b><a href="https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2024/11/04/harris-and-trump-bets-near-even-odds-ahead-of-us-election-day-as-voter-fraud-rumors-swirl/" rel="nofollow"><b>卡马拉·哈里斯</b></a><b>在Polymarket投注平台上获胜的预期概率继续上升,用户购买和出售了数十万股优先股,推动了市场活动。</b> 哈里斯获胜的股票价格在周二投票前飙升至43美分,高于10月30日的33美分。共和党人唐纳德·特朗普的股票价格下跌,从66美分下降到57美分。与此同时,民调汇总网站Real Clear Polling给特朗普一个微弱的优势,为48.5%-48.4%。哈里斯获胜概率的上升可能是由于交易者对冲风险,根据CoinDesk的分析,对10,000美元以上的交易进行研究表明,既有对哈里斯的大额下注,也有为应对特朗普失利而进行的策略性交易。</p></div></div></div><div><div><div></div></div></div><div><div><div><p><b>新加坡央行表示将</b><a href="https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2024/11/04/singapore-pushes-for-commercialization-of-tokenization/" rel="nofollow"><b>采取新措施推进金融服务领域的代币化</b></a><b>。</b> 新加坡金融管理局(MAS)希望建立商业网络,以加深代币化资产的流动性,发展代币化资产市场基础设施生态系统,制定代币化资产实施的行业框架,并为代币化资产提供共同结算设施。"我们很高兴看到金融机构和其他政策制定者积极参与,共同创造行业标准和风险管理框架,以促进代币化资本市场产品的商业部署,并在全行业范围内扩大代币化市场规模,"MAS市场和发展副总裁梁成昌说。</p></div></div></div><div><div><div></div></div></div><div><div><div><h2>今日图表</h2></div></div><div><div><figure><picture><source></source><source></source><source></source><source></source><source></source><source></source><img src="https://www.coindesk.com/resizer/XFz-dXzKBglhCCeHlheLyGAwZD8=/560x315/filters:quality(80):format(jpg)/cloudfront-us-east-1.images.arcpublishing.com/coindesk/EDFG7BNZGNBJJBT6UDVSW4GMEY.png" alt="COD FMA, Nov. 4 2024 (MacroMicro)"></picture><figcaption><span>(MacroMicro)</span></figcaption></figure></div></div><div><div><ul><li><div>该图显示了自1985年以来美国10年期国债收益率、3个月票据收益率、两者之间的利差以及标普500指数。</div></li><li><div>利差正在快速去倒挂,距离正常化或转为正值仅差20个基点。</div></li><li><div>以往的去倒挂都伴随着标普500指数的新一轮下跌趋势,并预示着美国经济衰退(用垂直阴影部分标示)。</div></li><li><div>但这次去倒挂可能不会对股票和其他风险资产(包括加密货币)产生看跌影响,因为它伴随着货币供给的加速,这往往是比特币等稀缺数字资产看多信号,Bitwise的欧洲研究主管安德烈·德拉戈什表示。</div></li><li><div>数据来源:MacroMicro</div></li></ul></div></div></div><div><div><div></div></div></div><div><div><div><p><i>- Omkar Godbole</i></p></div></div><div><div><h2>热门文章</h2></div></div><div><div><ul><li><div><a href="https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2024/11/04/bitcoin-likely-to-rally-after-the-us-election-irrespective-of-who-wins-history-shows-van-straten/" rel="nofollow"><b>历史表明,无论谁获胜,比特币在美国大选后都可能上涨</b></a></div></li><li><div><a href="https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2024/11/04/citi-fidelity-exhibit-proof-of-concept-for-real-time-forex-swap-onchain/" rel="nofollow"><b>花旗和富达展示了链上实时外汇掉期的概念验证</b></a></div></li><li><div><a href="https://www.coindesk.com/tech/2024/11/02/ethereum-researchers-relinquish-eigenlayer-roles-over-conflict-of-interest-concerns/" rel="nofollow"><b>以太坊研究人员因利益冲突问题放弃了EigenLayer的角色</b></a></div></li></ul></div></div><div><p>编辑:Sheldon Reback。</p></div></div>

美洲先行者：美国大选进入最后阶段， BTC变化不大

尽管价格波动性是无关紧要的,但最近期权市场的流动性表明存在<看多>预期。
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分析师：美国大选进入最后冲刺阶段，比特币价格或将震荡上行至 6,000-8,000 美元

投资者在加密和传统市场押注,即将到来的美国总统选举将导致价格波动。
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美国大选前夕比特币波动率跃升至三个月高位

加密市场正在为2024年可能是最动荡的一周做好准备。三个美国宏观经济数据事件在日程上,有可能对投资者的投资组合产生重大影响。
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