Cardano ($ADA) price could be setting the stage for further selling on March 30, after it closed last week below a crucial buy wall around $0.245.​
The Cardano price weekly close below this level has ...

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Cardano ($ADA) price could be setting the stage for further selling on March 30, after it closed last week below a crucial buy wall around $0.245.​
<adv/>The Cardano price weekly close below this level has triggered intraday follow-through, opening the path toward an estimated 11% decline to $0.22, as per analysis from Ali Martinez.
<adv/><figure><img src="https://cnews24.ru/uploads/e9a/e9ad5f51e9da7486ed24ffa6d19400c65434e7d8.jpeg"/>
<figcaption>$ADA/USD 4-hour chart. Source: alicharts</figcaption>
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Last week, $ADA price opened near $0.25 and finished at approximately $0.241 on Sunday, March 29. As a result of this drop, Cardano price confirmed a break of its multi-week support floor at $0.245, as highlighted by Martinez, who noted this level had held as a reliable bounce zone throughout the prior two months.​
Martinez’s bearish thesis will only be invalidated if $ADA price reclaims $0.269 as support, the threshold identified by trading analyst Crypto Patel.
<figure><img src="https://cnews24.ru/uploads/c1e/c1eb0849e40304735684da9148c7e4dcbba3a51d.png"/>
<figcaption>$ADA/USD 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView</figcaption>
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<h2>Why is Cardano facing a heightened bearish outlook?</h2>
Cardano price is facing compounding bearish pressure from both the on-chain and derivatives fronts. Over the past month, large Cardano holders, with wallet balances of 10-100 million $ADA, have steadily increased their exposure, although the figure has remained unchanged since February, based on metrics from Santiment.
​The mid-tier holders have distributed their tokens over the past month, leaving about 5.66 billion $ADA at the time of this publication. Meanwhile, retail investors – with account balances between 100,000 and 1,000,000 $ADA – have been liquidating their positions, leaving approximately 5.75 billion $ADA held by this group at the time of reporting.
<figure><img src="https://cnews24.ru/uploads/1ef/1ef9443e53d8d9276c790046a0930f9fb102883a.jpeg"/>
<figcaption>Cardano holders analysis between September 2025 and March 2026. Source: Santiment</figcaption>
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The low demand for $ADA from investors has coincided with its declining Open Interest (OI), the total amount of active contracts held by traders across all exchanges.​
<figure><img src="https://cnews24.ru/uploads/56d/56d20a3da03d6ebf06a1c0a800ec35e4e79acbd0.jpeg"/>
<figcaption>$ADA Open Interest (OI) Year-to-date. Source: CoinGlass</figcaption>
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​Since the beginning of 2025, Cardano’s OI has declined from a peak of approximately $846 million in early January to around $370 million at press time, according to CoinGlass data. Historically, sustained low spot demand combined with derivatives deleveraging, particularly during range-bound price action, has been a reliable precursor to further downside.

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Cardano breaks critical level as analyst warns of 11% drop

Cardano（$ ADA）價格上週收於0.245美元附近的關鍵買入牆下方，這可能預示著3月30日將出現進一步拋售。
Cardano價格周收盤價低於此水平的情況已經……

<div><div>Cardano （ $ ADA ）價格上週收在0.245美元附近的關鍵買入牆下方，這可能預示著3月30日將出現進一步拋售。<adv/>根據 Ali Martinez 的分析， Cardano價格週收盤價低於該水平，引發了日內後續下跌，預計下跌 11% 至 0.22 美元。 <adv/><figure><img src="https://cnews24.ru/uploads/e9a/e9ad5f51e9da7486ed24ffa6d19400c65434e7d8.jpeg"/><figcaption> $ ADA /USD 4小時圖。來源：阿里雲</figcaption></figure>上週， ADA價格開盤價接近0.25美元，並於3月29日星期日收在約0.241美元。受此影響， Cardano價格確認跌破了其持續數週的支撐位0.245美元，正如Martinez所指出的，該價位在過去兩個月中一直是可靠的反彈區域。只有當ADA價格重新奪回 0.269 美元的支撐位時，Martinez 的看跌論點才會失效，這是交易分析師Crypto Patel確定的Threshold。<figure><img src="https://cnews24.ru/uploads/c1e/c1eb0849e40304735684da9148c7e4dcbba3a51d.png"/><figcaption>$ ADA /USD 4小時圖。來源：TradingView</figcaption></figure><h2>為何Cardano面臨更悲觀的前景？</h2> Cardano價格正面臨來自鏈上和衍生性商品市場的雙重下行壓力。過去一個月，持有Cardano錢包餘額在1000萬至1億美元之間的大額ADA持有者穩步增持，儘管根據Santiment的數據，這一數字自2月份以來一直保持不變。過去一個月，中等規模的持有者已分發了他們的代幣，截至本文發佈時，剩餘約 56.6 億枚ADA 。與此同時，帳戶餘額在 10 萬至 100 萬枚ADA之間的散戶投資者一直在清算他們的部位，截至報告發佈時，該群體持有的ADA約為 57.5 億枚。 <figure><img src="https://cnews24.ru/uploads/1ef/1ef9443e53d8d9276c790046a0930f9fb102883a.jpeg"/><figcaption> 2025年9月至2026年3月期間Cardano持有者分析。資料來源：Santiment</figcaption></figure>投資者對ADA的需求低迷，與其未平倉合約量（OI，即所有交易所交易者持有的活躍合約總數）的下降同時發生。 <figure><img src="https://cnews24.ru/uploads/56d/56d20a3da03d6ebf06a1c0a800ec35e4e79acbd0.jpeg"/><figcaption> $ ADA年初至今未平倉合約 (OI)。資料來源：CoinGlass</figcaption></figure>根據CoinGlass 的數據，自 2025 年初以來，Cardano 的未平倉合約 (OI) 已從 1 月初的約 8.46 億美元高峰降至發稿時的約 3.7 億美元。從歷史經驗來看，現貨需求持續低迷，加上衍生性商品去槓桿化，尤其是在價格區間震盪期間，往往是價格進一步下跌的可靠預兆。</div></div>

Cardano跌破關鍵水平，分析師警告稱可能下跌11%。

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來自喜馬拉雅山脈的這股拋壓，不大，但很神秘。不丹，一個位於中國與印度之間、相對封閉的佛教國家，在 1974 年...

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