What does a textbook #Bitcoin dip in a bull market look like?
I provided this thread to @_checkonchain subscribers at $57.5k, not because I wanted to pick the bottom, or thought it couldn't go lower.
Instead, I shared my own personal logic behind why I stacked sats myself. 

Twitter

牛市中典型的#Bitcoin 下跌是什麼樣子的？
我以 57.5 萬美元的價格向 @_checkonchain 訂閱者提供了這個帖子，並不是因為我想觸底，或者認為它不能再低了。
相反，我分享了我自己囤積 Sats 的個人邏輯。

該交易員總計 48 次預測 15 分鐘市場漲跌，1 天淨賺 8 萬美元。

1 天賺 8 萬，這位頂級玩家把 Polymarket 當提款機

領先的加密貨幣比特幣（$ BTC）在反彈至 7 萬美元後再次下跌。目前比特幣交易價格在 6.7 萬美元左右，而以太坊（ETH）交易價格在 1960 美元左右，原因是美國 1 月的通膨數據…

突發！美國通膨數據發布！以下是比特幣（BTC）的初步反應！

原創 | Odaily 星球日報（@OdailyChina）
作者 | Ethan（@ethanzhang_web3）
早前的某個深夜，我在一個幣圈交易員群裡看到了一場有意思的爭論。
起因是有人發了張英偉達股價突破 190 美元的截圖，配文：「早說了讓你們配點美股，現在後悔了吧。」群裡瞬間炸開了鍋。有人抱怨券商開戶太麻煩，有人吐槽資金跨境轉賬慢得要死，還有人乾脆說：「我 USDT 躺在錢包裡，想買...

從比特幣到英偉達：Gate如何打造Web3時代的「全能交易賬戶」？

Firstly, price revisited and traded below the STH cost basis at $59.5k. This was a level we flagged in our first post about risks of 'Top Heavy' markets
However, if you believe, as we do, that #Bitcoin is in a bull market, that's exactly where you'd expect support to be found! 

首先，價格重新回落並低於 STH 成本基礎 59.5 萬美元。這是我們在第一篇關於“頭重腳輕”市場風險的帖子中標記的水平
但是，如果您像我們一樣相信 #Bitcoin 處於牛市，那麼這正是您期望找到支撐的地方！

I'm a HODLer, and I like buying #Bitcoin.
However I also like buying it at a discount, and less so at a premium.
On a statistical basis, that dip brought us much closer to the 200D moving average, and statistically speaking, $BTC was no longer expensive for a bull market. 

我是一名 HODLer，我喜歡購買 #Bitcoin。
但是我也喜歡以折扣價購買，而不是溢價購買。
從統計上看，這次下跌使我們更接近 200D 移動平均線，從統計上講，$BTC 對於牛市來說不再昂貴。

You also want to see a little bit of pain and fear. We know the ETF holders capitulated ~$700M, and we could see a hefty sum of $BTC fall into loss.
That said, dips are scary for a reason, they shake people out.
If we were going to bounce, it would probably look like this! 

您還希望看到一點痛苦和恐懼。我們知道 ETF 持有者已經損失了約 7 億美元，我們可能會看到 $BTC 的鉅額虧損。
話雖如此，下跌之所以可怕是有原因的，它會嚇跑人們。
如果我們要反彈，它可能會像這樣！

Naturally, plenty of folks bought high and then sold low.
STH-SOPR is one of my all time favourite indicators, and it printed an absolutely beautiful undercut of 1.0.
It shows me when the top buyers specifically started to capitulate out.
I like taking the other side of that. 

當然，許多人都是高價買入，然後低價賣出。
STH-SOPR 是我最喜歡的指標之一，它打印出絕對漂亮的 1.0 底切。
它向我展示了頂級買家何時開始投降。
我喜歡站在另一邊。

For a final dollop of cream on the cake, we also saw the #Bitcoin futures market cool down in a very healthy way.
This didn't look like a margin call, so my concern about a massive, sharp, angry deleveraging was minimal.
Overall, this describes a bull market dip where I step in.

最後一點錦上添花的是，我們還看到 #Bitcoin 期貨市場以非常健康的方式降溫。
這看起來不像是追加保證金通知，所以我對大規模、急劇、憤怒的去槓桿的擔憂微乎其微。
總的來說，這描述了我介入的牛市低谷。

I shared a video post in the original newsletter where I show how I assign simple probabilities and frameworks to these metrics.
They are simple frameworks that any #Bitcoin HODLer can use to improve their DCA hit rate, and feel more confident about their decisions. 

我在原始新聞通訊中分享了一個視頻帖子，其中我展示瞭如何為這些指標分配簡單的概率和框架。
它們是任何 #Bitcoin HODLer 都可以使用的簡單框架，以提高他們的 DCA 命中率，並對他們的決策更有信心。

The post received very positive reviews, as it was coming from Check the HODLer first, vs Check the analysts second.
Thank you to every @_checkonchain subscriber, you're the best, and you have made my year already.
It's a joy creating content for you.

這篇文章獲得了非常積極的評價，因為它首先來自 Check HODLer，其次來自 Check 分析師。
感謝每一位 @_checkonchain 訂閱者，你們是最棒的，你們已經讓我這一年很開心了。
為你創作內容是一種樂趣。