Odaily星球日报讯 QCP Capital 在最新市场分析报告中表示，尽管美国政府在获得清算批准后向 Coinbase Prime 转移了 3,940 枚比特币，但比特币依旧坚守 60,000 美元的支撑位。 分析认为，60,000 美元的支撑位将持续稳固，主要基于以下两点原因： 1.德国政府正在减缓向交易所发送比特币的速度，昨日仅发送了 250 枚比特币，这一变化或暗示当前抛售阶段已接近尾声； 2.比特币现货 ETF 在连续 7 天资金外流后，终于在过去两个交易日中实现 5240 万美元的净流入。 随着抛售压力减轻和 ETF 流入转为正值，市场或已在很大程度上消化 Mt.Gox 抛压影响，现在是逐步积累比特币的合适时机。

Odaily星球日报讯 QCP Capital 在最新市场分析报告中表示，尽管美国政府在获得清算批准后向 Coinbase Prime 转移了 3,940 枚比特币，但比特币依旧坚守 60,000 美元的支撑位。分析认为，60,000 美元的支撑位将持续稳固，主要基于以下两点原因：1.德国政府正在减缓向交易所发送比特币的速度，昨日仅发送了 250 枚比特币，这一变化或暗示当前抛售阶段已接近尾声；2.比特币现货 ETF 在连续 7 天资金外流后，终于在过去两个交易日中实现 5240 万美元的净流入。随着抛售压力减轻和 ETF 流入转为正值，市场或已在很大程度上消化 Mt.Gox 抛压影响，现在是逐步积累比特币的合适时机。

QCP Capital：比特币将坚守6万美元支撑位，因抛压缓解以及ETF实现净流入

Odaily Odaily News QCP Capital said in its latest market analysis report that although the US government transferred 3,940 bitcoins to Coinbase Prime after obtaining liquidation approval, Bitcoin still held the support level of $60,000. Analysts believe that the support level of $60,000 will continue to be solid, mainly based on the following two reasons: 1. The German government is slowing down the speed of sending bitcoins to exchanges, sending only 250 bitcoins yesterday. This change may suggest that the current selling phase is nearing its end; 2. After 7 consecutive days of capital outflows, the Bitcoin spot ETF finally achieved a net inflow of $52.4 million in the past two trading days. With the reduction of selling pressure and the turn of ETF inflows to positive values, the market may have largely digested the impact of Mt.Gox selling pressure, and now is the right time to gradually accumulate Bitcoin.

Odaily Odaily News QCP Capital said in its latest market analysis report that although the US government transferred 3,940 bitcoins to Coinbase Prime after obtaining liquidation approval, Bitcoin still held the support level of $60,000. Analysts believe that the support level of $60,000 will continue to be solid, mainly based on the following two reasons: 1. The German government is slowing down the speed of sending bitcoins to exchanges. Only 250 bitcoins were sent yesterday. This change may suggest that the current selling phase is nearing its end; 2. After 7 consecutive days of capital outflows, the Bitcoin spot ETF finally achieved a net inflow of $52.4 million in the past two trading days. With the reduction of selling pressure and the ETF inflow turning positive, the market may have largely digested the impact of Mt.Gox selling pressure, and now is the right time to gradually accumulate Bitcoin.

QCP Capital: Bitcoin will hold the $60,000 support level as selling pressure eases and ETFs achieve net inflows

According to data from Odaily, as of press time, the total cost basis of short-term Bitcoin holders (holding time no more than 155 days) is $65,000. This means that short-term holders are now facing losses or holding losing positions and may try to exit the market at a loss or break-even, which may increase selling pressure around $65,000. Blockware Intelligence analysts said in the latest issue of the newsletter: "The price of Bitcoin has fallen below the total cost basis of short-term holders for the first time since August 2023. In the short term, we expect some resistance around $65,000 as short-term market speculators may want to exit their positions at the 'break-even' level." The analyst added: "Last summer, when Bitcoin lost the STH (short-term holders) realized price support level, the price went sideways for another two months before finally breaking through again." At the same time, long-term holders have a strong incentive to maintain or increase their reserves because their average cost is less than $20,000, nearly 70% lower than the current market price of Bitcoin. (CoinDesk)

Analysis: Bitcoin's potential rally may face resistance near $65,000

Without a big increase in liquidity, only some markets benefit. This is very obvious in the risk market, where only a few technology stocks in the US stock market continue to grow. Other risk assets such as Bitcoin generally stagnate.
In such an external environment, the internal supply of Bitcoin has reached a tight balance with insufficient demand due to its high profits. In other words, there is no large influx of external funds, but the internal supply of the market is relatively sufficient. In this case, it is difficult for the market to break through. This is also a common phenomenon after breaking through the previous high in the previous bull market.
Investors have two choices, either to remain patient or to tend to...

Dehydration view: Bitcoin is in a tight balance and difficult to break through

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