Odaily星球日报讯 CME“美联储观察”上预计 9 月降息 50 基点的概率为 61%（一天前为 62%），降息 25 基点的概率为 39%。

CME“美联储观察”上预计降息50基点的概率降为61%

Odaily Odaily reported that CME&#39;s &quot;Fed Watch&quot; predicted that the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut in September was 61% (62% a day ago), and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut was 39%.

CME's "Fed Watch" predicts that the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut has dropped to 61%.

According to Odaily, recent US data seems to suggest that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates by 25 basis points in the middle of the week. Kiti Jukes, a macro strategist at Societe Generale, said the market could force the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 50 basis points. He added that US retail sales and industrial production data in the coming days may affect people's views. He said that if weak retail sales drive up pricing, the Federal Open Market Committee may be concerned about falling behind the curve.

Societe Generale: Markets could force the Fed to cut rates by 50 basis points

Odaily Planet Daily Report: Nordea Bank, a Swedish bank, looks ahead to the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, stating that the market has not yet determined the extent of the Fed's first rate cut. The bank expects the Fed to be inclined to cut rates by 25 basis points, but expects it to hint that this is just the first step in a series of rate cuts. The bank expects the Fed members to forecast two more rate cuts of 25 basis points each in November and December, and another 100 basis points of cuts next year, for a total of 175 basis points of cuts. The bank said: "If our forecast is correct, the Fed's performance over the next year will be very different from market expectations, which could lead to disappointing results." However, the message from Fed Chairman Powell will be that the Fed will take action as needed to support a soft landing, and will open the door to more frequent and larger rate cuts. (Jinshi)

Nordic Securities: The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points tonight, opening the door to a substantial rate cut

Odaily Odaily News: Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Barclays, Citigroup, Ernst & Young and other institutions all predict that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points tonight, and the dot plot will become the focus of market attention. (Jinshi)