It’s time to estimate the secondary performance of the latest Pool $HMSTR.
Since everyone is familiar with this game and the TON ecosystem, I will not elaborate on the basics, because from $cati we can see that in the short term, whether there is empowerment and profit model has basically no impact on the token price.
The biggest short-term impacts are: valuations of projects on the same track, market sentiment at launch, community sentiment, and the trading ideas of market makers.
There are several points that are different between the hamster project and the cat project:
The circulation volume is very large, $cati is 30%, $HMSTR has reached 64.38%
The hamster only gave 3% of the chips to the Pool, while the cat gave 9% (no wonder the cat took away the position of the first Pool player).
In other words, Hamster gave most of its chips to the community for airdrops, so compared to cats, people who pet hamsters should theoretically gain more, and the community sentiment is ++ (of course, the selling pressure from studio petters is also greater).
There is still one day left for Pool. At present, copycat products are booming and the market is in a state of short miss the pump sentiment, which is a very good time to launch new products.
At present, the pre-market price of $HMSTR on OKX is basically stable at around 0.009, which means that the FDV is 1 billion and the Mcap is around 580 million, which is basically in line with the price of $CATI of 1 dollar. However, the secondary performance of $CATI has been poor recently, and a lot of people have been trapped, which will affect the sentiment of the secondary to take over.
Therefore, I think the price will most likely hit 0.01 when it goes online, and I will not consider secondary buying before the airdrop is cleared.
