Odaily星球日报讯 欧洲央行管委霍尔茨曼表示，12 月降息的可能性很小。由于 10 月份的举措，欧洲央行可能会在 12 月按兵不动。通货膨胀可能会超过预期，（若降息）预计 12 月可能降息 25 个基点。（金十）

欧洲央行管委霍尔茨曼：12月降息的可能性很小

Odaily Odaily reported that European Central Bank board member Holzmann said that there is little possibility of a rate cut in December. Due to the measures in October, the European Central Bank may remain on hold in December. Inflation may exceed expectations, and (if the rate is cut) it is expected that the rate may be cut by 25 basis points in December. (Jinshi)

ECB's Holzmann: December rate cut unlikely

The President of the European Central Bank, Lagarde, stated that the pace of interest rate cuts will be determined later, and it is not advisable to arbitrarily decide to raise interest rates by 50 basis points based solely on our economic forecasts. A careful examination is needed, as we are getting closer to a hoped-for economic equilibrium. (<Odaily Planet Dai>)

ECB President Lagarde: It is not advisable to arbitrarily decide to raise interest rates by 50 basis points based solely on economic forecasts

Odaily Planet Daily News has learned from sources that European Central Bank policymakers have begun discussing whether interest rates need to be lowered below neutral levels in the current easing cycle. It will take a long time for the ECB to reach any consensus, but this marks a significant shift in the policy debate, which could ultimately lead the central bank to cut rates earlier and more aggressively than currently expected. (Gold Ten)

Sources: ECB begins discussing whether interest rates need to be lowered below neutral, or cuts earlier and more sharply than expected

The Financial Times team has recently updated its forecast on the outlook for US Federal Reserve interest rates, predicting that if Harris wins the election, the Federal Reserve may cut rates rapidly next year. The analysis suggests that after a 50-basis-point rate cut in September, the Federal Reserve may cut rates twice more by 25 basis points in 2024. The Federal Reserve will cut a total of 100 basis points in interest rates by the end of this year, lowering the federal funds rate to 4.25-4.5%. This is consistent with the Federal Reserve's economic forecast summary in September. If Harris wins the US presidential election, the Federal Reserve will cut rates 3 more times by 25 basis points in the first half of 2025, lowering the policy rate to 3.5-3.75%. (Jinshi)