Odaily星球日报讯 预测市场 Polymarket 数据显示，目前预测特朗普赢得美国总统大选概率为 66.5%，哈里斯赢得大选概率为 33.4%，两者相差 33.1 个百分点。 此外，平台上对美国大选押注金额突破 26 亿美元（2,660,622,282 美元）。

Odaily星球日报讯 预测市场 Polymarket 数据显示，目前预测特朗普赢得美国总统大选概率为 66.5%，哈里斯赢得大选概率为 33.4%，两者相差 33.1 个百分点。此外，平台上对美国大选押注金额突破 26 亿美元（2,660,622,282 美元）。

Polymarket上美国大选押注金额突破26亿美元，特朗普胜选概率暂报66.5%

Odaily Planet Daily Report: According to Polymarket data, the probability of Trump winning the US presidential election is currently 66.5%, while the probability of Harris winning the election is 33.4%, a difference of 33.1 percentage points. In addition, the total amount of bets on the US election on the platform has exceeded $2.66 billion (2,660,622,282 USD).

Odaily Planet Daily Report: According to data from the prediction market Polymarket, the probability of Trump winning the US presidential election is currently 66.5%, while the probability of Harris winning the election is 33.4%, a difference of 33.1 percentage points. In addition, the total amount bet on the US election on the platform has exceeded $2.66 billion (2,660,622,282 USD).

Polymarket's US election betting amount exceeds $2.6 billion, Trump's chance of winning is temporarily reported at 66.5%

The predictions on Polymarket differ significantly from the results of national opinion polls.

Author: Kyle Chayka
Translated by: BitpushNews Yanan

Polymarket betting frenzy: Trump wins, market consensus or public opinion manipulation?

With only one week left until the election.
As the US presidential election approaches, as of the afternoon of October 27 local time, more than 41 million voters nationwide have already cast their ballots for the 2024 presidential election. As a result, the cryptocurrency market has also become increasingly volatile, and under the "election trade" stimulus, Bitcoin has taken the lead in starting a rally, returning to the long-lost $71,000 level this week, with the cryptocurrency sector seeing broad gains, and the MEME market being immersed in PolitiFi.
Returning to the two candidates, Harris and Trump are becoming increasingly entangled. Due to the recent poor handling of Hurricane "Milton" and the conflict between Iran and Israel, ...

With just one week left before the election, the “Trump” trade is sweeping the crypto market

According to Onchain Lens monitoring, a whale withdrew 500,000 USDC from <Bybit> and invested it in a bet on Trump's victory, with about a week left until the US election. Currently, the gap between Trump and Harris on <Polymarket> has reached 32.3%.