Odaily星球日报讯 据 CME“美联储观察”，距离下一次 FOMC 会议还有约两天，美联储到 12 月维持当前利率不变的概率为 2.9%，累计降息 25 个基点的概率升至 97.1%，较上周六上涨 1.1 个百分点。

美联储12月降息25个基点的概率升至97.1%

Odaily Odaily reported that according to CME&#39;s &quot;Fed Watch&quot;, there are about two days left until the next FOMC meeting. The probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain the current interest rate unchanged until December is 2.9%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 25 basis points has risen to 97.1%, up 1.1 percentage points from last Saturday.

The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December has risen to 97.1%.

According to the article by Nick Timiraos, the renowned journalist known as the "Fed whisperer" of The Wall Street Journal, the Federal Reserve's rate cut plans are constantly changing, and investors generally expect a third consecutive rate cut this week. After that, officials are prepared to slow down or even stop cutting rates. Timiraos said Powell is trying to find the right positioning amid signs that the labor market is not as volatile and inflation is slightly more stable than in September. Some officials have expressed doubts about further rate cuts, and those who previously strongly supported the first two rate cuts are no longer as confident. One option this week is to cut rates by 25 basis points and then use the new economic forecasts to strongly suggest that the central bank is prepared to cut rates more slowly.

"Federal Reserve megaphone": After the December rate cut, officials may be ready to slow down or even stop rate cuts

Odaily reports that Barclays Bank expects the Federal Reserve to adopt a hawkish rate cut policy, and the bank may "open the door to suspending further rate cuts, but the duration of the (suspension of rate cuts) is uncertain". In addition, Jim Baird, Chief Investment Officer of Plante Moran Financial Advisors, said that any factor that causes the market to expect the Federal Reserve's rate cut pace to be slower than investors expect could lead to a slight downside for the stock market.

BNP Paribas: Expect the Fed to adopt a hawkish rate cut policy

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