Odaily星球日报讯 Fairlead Strategists 的创始人 Katie Stockton 指出，一些技术指标表明比特币短期内出现看跌势头。Katie Stockton 表示，未来几周，比特币可能会跌至 84500 美元左右的支撑位，这意味着较当前水平有 10%的下跌空间。她补充说，如果跌势延续，下一个支撑位可能在 73800 美元左右，这意味着从当前水平下跌 22%。比特币上周跌破其 50 天移动均线。她在周二给客户的一份报告中写道，，这证实了中期超买和卖出信号，支持 2025 年第一季度的价格回调。 Katie Stockton 说道：“根据每日 MACD（指数平滑移动平均线）和 20 天移动均线，短期动能现在是为负，这支持转向短期看跌偏见。”她提到的是两个反映短期定价趋势的指标。尽管比特币短期内可能会出现疲软，但 Katie Stockton 仍然看好比特币的长期前景，并指出了几个积极的月度指标。“月度随机指标和 MACD 指标都继续支持比特币进入新年的长期前景看涨，因此我将把回调视为增加比特币敞口的机会。”（Business Insider）

Odaily星球日报讯 Fairlead Strategists 的创始人 Katie Stockton 指出，一些技术指标表明比特币短期内出现看跌势头。Katie Stockton 表示，未来几周，比特币可能会跌至 84500 美元左右的支撑位，这意味着较当前水平有 10%的下跌空间。她补充说，如果跌势延续，下一个支撑位可能在 73800 美元左右，这意味着从当前水平下跌 22%。比特币上周跌破其 50 天移动均线。她在周二给客户的一份报告中写道，，这证实了中期超买和卖出信号，支持 2025 年第一季度的价格回调。Katie Stockton 说道：“根据每日 MACD（指数平滑移动平均线）和 20 天移动均线，短期动能现在是为负，这支持转向短期看跌偏见。”她提到的是两个反映短期定价趋势的指标。尽管比特币短期内可能会出现疲软，但 Katie Stockton 仍然看好比特币的长期前景，并指出了几个积极的月度指标。“月度随机指标和 MACD 指标都继续支持比特币进入新年的长期前景看涨，因此我将把回调视为增加比特币敞口的机会。”（Business Insider）

观点：当前回调可视为增加比特币敞口的机会

Odaily reports that Katie Stockton, the founder of Fairlead Strategists, pointed out that some technical indicators suggest a bearish trend for Bitcoin in the short term. Katie Stockton said that in the coming weeks, Bitcoin may fall to a support level of around $84,500, which means a 10% downside from the current level. She added that if the downtrend continues, the next support level may be around $73,800, which means a 22% drop from the current level. Bitcoin broke below its 50-day moving average last week. She wrote in a report to clients on Tuesday that this confirms medium-term overbought and sell signals, supporting a price correction in the first quarter of 2025. Katie Stockton said, "Based on the daily MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) and the 20-day moving average, short-term momentum is now negative, supporting a shift to a short-term bearish bias." She mentioned these are two indicators that reflect short-term pricing trends. Although Bitcoin may be weak in the short term, Katie Stockton remains bullish on Bitcoin's long-term prospects and cited several positive monthly indicators. "The monthly stochastic and MACD indicators continue to support a bullish long-term outlook for Bitcoin as it enters the new year, so I will view the pullback as an opportunity to increase Bitcoin exposure." (Business Insider)

Odaily reports that Fairlead Strategists' founder Katie Stockton points out that some technical indicators suggest a bearish short-term trend for Bitcoin. Katie Stockton says that in the coming weeks, Bitcoin may fall to a support level of around $84,500, which means a 10% downside from the current level. She added that if the downtrend continues, the next support level may be around $73,800, which means a 22% drop from the current level. Bitcoin broke below its 50-day moving average last week. In a report to clients on Tuesday, she wrote that this confirms medium-term overbought and sell signals, supporting a price correction in the first quarter of 2025. Katie Stockton said, "Based on the daily MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) and the 20-day moving average, short-term momentum is now negative, supporting a shift to a short-term bearish bias." She mentioned these are two indicators that reflect short-term pricing trends. Although Bitcoin may be weak in the short term, Katie Stockton remains bullish on Bitcoin's long-term prospects and cited several positive monthly indicators. "The monthly stochastic and MACD indicators continue to support a bullish long-term outlook for Bitcoin as it enters the new year, so I will view the pullback as an opportunity to increase Bitcoin exposure."

Opinion: The current pullback can be seen as an opportunity to increase Bitcoin exposure

Odaily Report: According to an analysis by K33 Research, despite the global stock index decline, <BTC> remains above $95,000. However, on a weekly basis, <BTC> has declined in sync with major stock indices. K33 Research head Vetle Lunde stated that "in the past two weeks since the FOMC meeting, global risk has decreased, with <BTC>'s two-week return at -11% and <ETH> falling 15%, driving the <ETH/BTC> rate down to 0.036." Vetle said the current decline in <BTC> is closely related to the global stock market. Since the end of September, this digital asset's 30-day correlation with the Nasdaq has exceeded 0.50 for the first time. He believes the FOMC meeting on December 18 was a key factor in the market decline. At this meeting, the Fed's dot plot was revised to expect two rate cuts by 2025, lower than the four predicted in September. Rate cuts often boost the market, so the reduced number of expected cuts is unfavorable for risk assets like <BTC>. Vetle noted that "while the Fed has lowered rates by 100 basis points since September, the 10-year US Treasury yield has risen by 100 basis points, indicating the market expects future inflationary pressures." He pointed out that after the FOMC meeting, <BTC> experienced significant ETF outflows, and <MicroStrategy>'s purchases have also become more restrained. (The Block)

K33 Research: Global markets digest the Fed's 2025 rate cut expectations, and Bitcoin is closely related to stock market performance

Odaily reported that in recent weeks, the price of Bitcoin has declined, with a significant correction from the record high of over $108,000 reached in mid-December, dropping nearly 3% that month, but the annual increase in 2024 is still expected to reach around 120%. The amazing rise of Bitcoin this year can be attributed to three bullish factors - optimistic sentiment about regulatory easing, an improved macroeconomic environment, and surging investment demand. Analysts predict that this cryptocurrency may have greater upside potential in 2025. Fundstart Global Advisors founder Tom Lee expects Bitcoin to reach $250,000 in 2025, while Standard Chartered Bank's forecast is $200,000. Over the past two bull market cycles since 2017, Bitcoin has set new highs every four years, with each bull market cycle seeing gains between 2300% and 1700%, followed by a 70% to 80% pullback. Since reaching a low of $16,000 two years ago, Bitcoin has soared by around 600%, indicating its huge potential for further upside in the next two years. (BusinessInsider)

Regulatory relaxation, macroeconomic environment and investment demand will support BTC to have greater room for growth this year

Odaily reports that some analysts believe that the rise of Bit will continue after the presidential election, after an initial stagnation. Bitget Research chief analyst Ryan Lee said that the price of BTC may pull back by around 30% before recovering a bullish trend. In addition, long-term Bit holders (addresses holding Bit for more than 155 days) are sitting on substantial profits, which may increase the risk of further sell-offs, as investors may seek to cash out and profit in the new year. According to Bitbo's data, the realized price of long-term holders is $24,298, and if they sell at the current price ($94,820), they can profit by about 290%. However, the average cost basis of short-term holders (holding Bit for less than 155 days) is much higher, with a realized price of $86,753, and if they sell at the current price, they can only profit by 9.29%. (Cointelegraph)