The trade war is back:
After a brief pause, Trump just threatened 50% tariffs on the EU beginning June 1st and 25% tariffs on Apple.
In 5 days, the S&P 500 has erased -$1.5 trillion of market cap.
What's next? Here's why you NEED to watch the bond market.
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Today we saw gold, silver, and palladium all hit new highs! Since the correction at the end of October, gold has been trading above the 25-35 day moving average; silver is rising along the four-hour moving average; and palladium is rising along the three-day moving average.
Synchronization: This "synchronized new highs" usually signifies the start of a major trend. Gold provides "stability," silver provides "elasticity," while the addition of palladium indicates a dual surge in industrial and investment demand.
In this clear upward trend, trading volume has not weakened significantly and no bearish structure has emerged. Don't try to short the short at the top; otherwise, you'll end up with...

Market Analysis | Gold, Silver, and Palladium Hit New Highs! How High Can They Go!?

Original text from Prince
Compiled by Odaily Odaily Golem (@web 3_golem)
The failure of fixed-rate lending in the crypto space is not simply because DeFi users reject it. Another reason for its failure is that DeFi protocols designed their credit products using money market assumptions and then deployed them into a liquidity-driven ecosystem; the mismatch between user assumptions and actual capital behavior keeps fixed-rate lending a niche market.
Fixed-rate products are unpopular in the crypto space. Currently, almost all mainstream lending...

Why do DeFi users reject fixed interest rates?

Another case of "address poisoning," causing one user to lose $50 million. Photo: Techradar
The attack caused a shock.
A cryptocurrency user lost nearly $50 million USDT after mistakenly transferring the funds to...

Another case of "address poisoning," causing one user to lose $50 million.

We have now learned:
Too much tariff pressure causes the basis trade to unwind.
Too little tariff pressure causes inflation expectations to rise.
Now, President Trump must find a middle ground to maintain tariffs but also suppress treasury yields WITHOUT Fed cuts.

Interestingly, shortly after Trump's announcement to increase tariffs, Bessent said more trade "deals" are coming.
The 10Y Note is back above 4.50% on these comments.
Bessent seems to have missed the memo.
Follow us @KobeissiLetter for real time analysis as this develops.