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Discussing personal views based on Shufen's tweet: 1) Regarding BTC trend, we started discussing the potential end of this wave of growth since mid-April by late May, and now further emphasizing that it might face a downturn or show signs of weakness after the impact of the Israel-Iran conflict, requiring caution. 2) The cyclical effects of BTC in the past may be weakened, as the driving logic has completely changed (from four-year halving to macro-driven). Therefore, a perspective proposed at the beginning of the year: for BTC, instead of defining the market as "bull" or "bear", it's a large-scale trend (upward or downward), which might be a more objective view of the current market. Leaving aside the cyclical perspective, looking at staged trend movements might be more beneficial (wave by wave). 3) Regarding Altcoins, a tweet about Altcoin recognition iteration was written last year: Current small coin issues are a settlement of the past few years of VC primary market's aggressive progress; a demonstration of most narratives being falsified; a result of low cost of misconduct by core teams of crypto projects; and a manifestation of the market's overall maturity and effectiveness. In the future, it should no longer be a comprehensive Altcoin season, but rather a season of local hotspots (targets with high consensus and good liquidity). What should emerge is a "fundamental season", where projects with true innovation, valuable implementation, and continuously improving fundamentals will receive the most attention and support.

shu fen
@shufen46250836
06-13
单纯表达个人观点,目前整个币圈的流动性比较割裂,支撑大饼的价格继续往上的流动性很弱 在美联储没有降息之前,大饼的顶部应该就是现在的区间11万,美联储降息之后,我感觉价格区间也就12-13万区间 我认为本轮币圈的牛市周期接近尾部,但比特币不会出现像过往周期那样,有大的级别回调。 x.com/li_martin61647…
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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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