PANews 7月14日消息，Matrixport数据显示，比特币在过去10年中有7次在7月录得上涨，平均涨幅达9.1%。此前分析指出，比特币或因季节性因素上涨至117,244美元。尽管市场对夏季行情持谨慎态度，但从历史数据来看，突破迹象早已显现，并推动价格刷新历史新高。
当前比特币的上涨趋势受到多重宏观因素影响，包括美股走强提振市场信心、特朗普持续对美联储施压，以及提高财政赤字上限的法案获批加剧了市场对流动性释放的预期。从目前的市场表现来看，行情正逐步印证此前预测。

PANews 7月14日消息，Matrixport数据显示，比特币在过去10年中有7次在7月录得上涨，平均涨幅达9.1%。此前分析指出，比特币或因季节性因素上涨至117,244美元。尽管市场对夏季行情持谨慎态度，但从历史数据来看，突破迹象早已显现，并推动价格刷新历史新高。当前比特币的上涨趋势受到多重宏观因素影响，包括美股走强提振市场信心、特朗普持续对美联储施压，以及提高财政赤字上限的法案获批加剧了市场对流动性释放的预期。从目前的市场表现来看，行情正逐步印证此前预测。

分析：当前比特币的上涨趋势受到多重宏观因素影响，包括美股走强提振市场信心等

<PANews> On July 14th, Matrixport data shows that Bitcoin has recorded gains in 7 out of the past 10 years in July, with an average increase of 9.1%. Previous analysis suggested that Bitcoin might rise to $117,244 due to seasonal factors. Despite the market's cautious attitude towards the summer trend, historical data indicates early signs of a breakthrough that could drive prices to new all-time highs.

The current upward trend of Bitcoin is influenced by multiple macroeconomic factors, including the strengthening of US stocks boosting market confidence, Trump's continued pressure on the Federal Reserve, and the approval of a bill to raise the fiscal deficit ceiling, which has increased market expectations of liquidity release. Based on the current market performance, the trend is gradually confirming previous predictions.

PANews reported on July 14 that Matrixport data shows Bitcoin has risen 7 times in July over the past 10 years, with an average increase of 9.1%. Previous analysis suggested that Bitcoin might rise to $117,244 due to seasonal factors. Despite the market's cautious attitude towards summer trends, historical data indicates early signs of a breakthrough that could drive prices to new all-time highs.The current upward trend of Bitcoin is influenced by multiple macro factors, including strong US stock performance boosting market confidence, Trump's continued pressure on the Federal Reserve, and the approval of a bill to raise the fiscal deficit ceiling, which has increased market expectations of liquidity release. Based on current market performance, the trend is gradually confirming previous predictions.

Analysis: The current upward trend of Bitcoin is affected by multiple macro factors, including the strengthening of US stocks boosting market confidence.

Following the controversy surrounding Fundstrat's Bitcoin views, co-founder Tom Lee responded, stating that the "contradictory predictions" seen by outsiders were actually research conclusions from different positions and timelines, not internal disagreements. Previously, Sean Farrell, head of digital asset strategy at Fundstrat, suggested that Bitcoin might retrace to the $60,000-$65,000 range in the first half of 2026; while Tom Lee believed Bitcoin could reach new highs, even surging to $200,000 as early as the beginning of 2026. A Fundstrat...

Tom Lee responds to Fundstrat's "contradictory" views on Bitcoin: Different positions, different timelines, not internal disagreements.

Next Week's Key Preview

December 22nd

Aster: Phase 5 airdrop will begin on December 22nd and last for 6 weeks;

Espresso will open airdrop registration on December 22nd;

December 23rd

The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis will release third-quarter GDP data on December 23rd;

December 24th
U.S. and European stock markets will be closed for Christmas, and whether a "Christmas rally" will materialize remains uncertain;

The U.S. will release initial jobless claims for the week ending December 20th;...

Must-watch items next week: US Bureau of Economic Analysis to release Q3 GDP data; Aster launches fifth phase of airdrop (December 22-28).

Source: Galaxy Research
Translation: Jinse Finance
Bitcoin's closing price in 2025 is expected to be roughly the same as the level at the beginning of the year.
The cryptocurrency market experienced a genuine bullish wave in the first ten months of this year. Regulatory reforms continued to advance, ETFs continued to attract funds, and on-chain activity became increasingly active. Bitcoin hit an all-time high of $126,080 on October 6th.
However, the market failed to deliver the expected breakout after the initial frenzy; instead, it experienced rotation, repricing, and rebalancing. This was driven by factors such as unmet macroeconomic expectations, a shift in investment narratives, leveraged liquidations, and the actions of whale...