ChainCatcher 消息，基于 IBM 发布的量子计算机研究进程文章，马斯克向 Grok 询问量子计算破解比特币算法（SHA-256）的概率。 Grok 回复表示，根据 NIST、IBM 和专家调查对 2025 年的评估，量子计算破解 SHA-256 的概率在“未来 5 年内几乎为 0%，到 2035 年将低于 10%”。这需要数百万个纠错量子比特；而当前系统最多仅支持约 1,000 个噪声量子比特。比特币的哈希值目前仍然安全。

ChainCatcher 消息，基于 IBM 发布的量子计算机研究进程文章，马斯克向 Grok 询问量子计算破解比特币算法（SHA-256）的概率。Grok 回复表示，根据 NIST、IBM 和专家调查对 2025 年的评估，量子计算破解 SHA-256 的概率在“未来 5 年内几乎为 0%，到 2035 年将低于 10%”。这需要数百万个纠错量子比特；而当前系统最多仅支持约 1,000 个噪声量子比特。比特币的哈希值目前仍然安全。

Grok 认为量子计算破解比特币算法（SHA-256）的概率在未来 5 年内几乎为 0

According to ChainCatcher's report, based on IBM's quantum computing research progress article, Musk inquired with Grok about the probability of quantum computing breaking the Bitcoin algorithm (SHA-256). Grok responded that, according to NIST, IBM, and expert assessments for 2025, the probability of quantum computing breaking SHA-256 is "almost 0% in the next 5 years, and will be below 10% by 2035". This would require millions of error-correcting quantum bits, while current systems support at most about 1,000 noisy quantum bits. Bitcoin's hash value remains secure for now.

According to ChainCatcher, based on an IBM quantum computing research progress article, Musk inquired with Grok about the probability of quantum computing breaking the Bitcoin algorithm (SHA-256).Grok responded that, according to assessments by NIST, IBM, and experts for 2025, the probability of quantum computing breaking SHA-256 is "almost 0% in the next 5 years, and will be below 10% by 2035". This would require millions of error-correcting quantum bits, while current systems support at most about 1,000 noisy quantum bits. Bitcoin's hash value remains secure for now.

Grok believes that the probability of quantum computing cracking the Bitcoin algorithm (SHA-256) is almost zero in the next five years.

The recent market has been truly stagnant, with frequent fluctuations and erratic price swings, effectively eroding liquidity and leaving no clear direction.

Let's summarize what the top analysts are saying: During this period, resting is better than frequent trading. Maintaining your understanding is key; inaction is the best strategy.

Current Market Situation: High-Level Consolidation and "Washout"

- Current Market Situation: BTC is currently consolidating in the 85k-90k range, characterized by frequent "V-shaped" price swings (rapid up-and-down V-shaped reversals). Essentially, this is the main players clearing out high-leverage contracts and reaping profits from short-term traders.

- Supply and Demand Structure: Sellers are showing strength...

Market Overview | BTC

Are prediction markets simply well-packaged gambling, or a revolutionary innovation?

The debate seems to have strayed from the core issue.

This article, originally written by @0xJeff and translated and personally interpreted by @anymose, retains only the general meaning; for the original flavor, please refer to the original text.

01 When Risk is Packaged as Entertainment
The US is sliding into the abyss of "hyper-gambling": The market is flooded with sports betting apps optimized for teenagers, one-click prediction markets, and even absurd apps that use coin tosses to decide whether to double rent… Risk is blatantly packaged as entertainment, a sad reality.

Gambling has existed since ancient times:...

What are gamblers thinking?

The crypto market is heading into the final weekend of 2025, and before the new year begins, there are still opportunities for altcoins to grow further.

Leading the way is Pippin (PIPPIN), the following three altcoins are very promising...