0G is led by co-founder and CEO Michael Heinrich, a UC Berkeley graduate with experience at Microsoft, Bain, and Bridgewater, and previously founded a successful Y Combinator startup (Garten). He partnered with Ming Wu and Fan Long (both co-founders of Conflux Blockchain) and Thomas Yao (formerly of IMO Ventures) to launch 0G. This combination of Silicon Valley and blockchain veterans (Conflux is a public L1 network) brings strong technical and entrepreneurial experience. The team's credibility is high—Heinrich was even named to Forbes' 40 under 40 list—and the Conflux founders bring prior L1 chain experience.
0G Labs received an unusually large amount of funding in its early stages.
In March 2024, it completed a $35 million pre-seed round of financing led by Hack VC (investors included 40+ crypto venture capital firms such as Animoca, Delphi, Alliance, OKX Ventures, Stanford Fund, Symbolic Capital, etc.).
In November 2024, it completed a $40 million seed round of financing (also with participation from Hack VC, Delphi, OKX, Sandeep from Polygon, Yat Siu from Animoca, etc.).
Notably, 0G also secured $250 million in “token purchase commitments” from backers for future liquidity. In addition to approximately $75 million in venture capital funding, 0G also raised approximately $34 million through a node sale of AI-aligned nodes by selling node licenses on platforms like CoinList and OpenPad.
Overall, total funding commitments exceed $350 million (including $250 million in future token commitments)—a significant war chest that demonstrates strong investor confidence and ample resources to develop the project. This funding, along with significant backers like Animoca, Polygon, Samsung, Delphi, and OKX Ventures, provides 0G with a solid foundation for growth.
3. Technology Positioning and Innovation
0G positions itself as the “first decentralized AI operating system (DeAI OS)”—essentially an AI-centric layer-1 blockchain designed to handle the massive data and computing demands of AI applications.
Its architecture is modular and layered, combining several specialized components:
An EVM-compatible 0G Chain (L1 smart contract chain)
0G Storage (decentralized storage optimized for large AI datasets)
G Data Availability layer (for scalable data throughput)
0G Compute network (for on-chain AI model training/inference).
This modular design enables it to decouple data availability and storage from execution, similar in spirit to Celestia’s modular approach to achieve high throughput and low costs for AI workloads.
Notably, 0G introduces a dual-channel system for data publishing and storage to improve performance and proposes a novel Proof of Random Access (PoRA) mechanism to incentivize storage nodes. It even plans to leverage Ethereum's EigenLayer for shared security (protecting 0G's data availability by restaking ETH)—aligning with recent trends in modular blockchains and restaking (Celestia, EigenLayer). The consensus design reportedly utilizes elements of sharding, DAG, and BFT to achieve high parallel throughput.
In short, 0G aims to address the intersection of AI and blockchain, aiming to enable on-chain AI by significantly improving scalability and data processing capabilities. This is a novel value proposition, and while its competitors include projects like Celestia and EigenLayer in the modular infrastructure space, as well as other AI-focused chains like Fetch or Cortex, 0G's approach (a unified AI operating system) is quite unique.
4. Narrative Track & Upward Spiral Mechanism
0G is firmly entrenched in two of the hottest narratives: AI + blockchain and modular chains/data availability.
It positions itself as an “AI Layer-1,” which aligns with the keen interest in integrating AI with crypto platforms (similar to the “AI + crypto” narrative that drove project gains in 2023–2024).
At the same time, its focus on data availability and scalability ties it into the Celestia-style modular blockchain narrative and EigenLayer's restaking - both of which are very popular themes in the 2023–2025 period.
The economic model of the 0G token is still being refined. It will be used to pay gas fees, staking (for validators and storage nodes), and ecosystem governance. It has a built-in 3.5% annual inflation rate, likely used to reward stakers/nodes.
To date, no explicit mention of revenue buybacks or token burns has been found. However, as an EVM chain, 0G may implement fee burns (similar to Ethereum's EIP-1559)—but this is speculative. The team's allocation of over half of tokens to the community/incentives suggests a goal of expanding usage, which could drive demand for the token. However, there are currently no known direct "profit sharing" or burn models (such as those used by exchange tokens).
The token value will depend on network adoption (payment of AI services, etc.) and whether the team uses part of the network fees for buybacks - this remains to be seen.
2. Market Sentiment and Expectations
1. Social media popularity & community participation
Market excitement surrounding 0G's listing on Binance is incredibly high. The project has built a large community over the past year through testnets, missions, and airdrops. On Twitter/X, the official account and team boast tens of thousands of followers, with engagement surging following the news of the Binance listing.
On Discord, 0G has implemented extensive community initiatives, such as granting special statuses to active contributors ("Galactic Guardian," "0Gurus," etc.) and hosting an ambassador program. Long-time Discord members were even rewarded with token airdrops as a thank you for their support. The team also organized Galxe quest events, social media missions, and an NFT series ("One Gravity" NFTs) for early adopters. This has led to a loyal following—for example, over 2,000 community members were recognized as "0G Yappers" (content contributors in a campaign with Kaito) to receive tokens. These indicators indicate active community participation and significant grassroots interest. On Telegram/Discord, discussions about Binance listings were intense, with many users anticipating significant gains.
2. KOL & Investor Discussion
Given the heavyweight VC backing behind it, institutions like Delphi Digital and Animoca are likely to have promoted the project as part of their portfolios. Crypto media (CoinDesk, The Block, TechCrunch) have all reported on 0G’s financing and vision, raising its global profile. Within the Chinese crypto community, 0G has received a lot of attention (thanks to its connection to Conflux and Chinese investors such as Foresight and OKX Ventures). Chinese media (Odaily, ChainCatcher) have reported on every update - for example, the token name announcement and financing news were reported in September 2025. Binance’s own content platform also published an analysis of 0G, highlighting its AI+Blockchain appeal [26][11].
On Twitter, many traders shared lengthy posts comparing 0G to Celestia or discussing its AI narrative. Overall, pre-IPO market sentiment was very bullish—0G was often cited as one of the most anticipated new IPOs of 2025.
That being said, there were also voices warning of caution, pointing out that the fully diluted valuation might be too high; but the prevailing sentiment in the community before the listing was one of optimism and fear of missing out (FOMO), as the AI craze coincided with Binance’s endorsement.
3. Popular themes (narrative fit)
0G certainly fits multiple "hot topic" labels. Ever since the ChatGPT craze, AI-focused crypto projects have been trending—any project that combines AI with crypto tends to pique retail investor interest. 0G is positioning itself as the infrastructure for AI dApps, aligning with the "AI + Web3" narrative (similar to projects like Fetch.AI and SingularityNET).
Furthermore, 0G's emphasis on data availability (DA) and modular design ties it directly to the "modular blockchain" narrative pioneered by Celestia. Celestia's successful launch demonstrates market demand for a DA layer. Similarly, 0G's use of EigenLayer (restaking) allows it to enter the Ethereum restaking narrative, which has gained significant popularity due to the popularity of EigenLayer.
Essentially, 0G launched at a time when investors were craving a playbook similar to Celestia and EigenLayer—combining both with AI elements. This narrative concoction led to market expectations that 0G could follow in Celestia's footsteps and become a high-flyer. Many in the community viewed 0G as part of the next wave of high-profile Layer 1 projects (often mentioned alongside other recently hyped launches like Linea, Sei, and Mantle, despite 0G's focus on AI). Given Binance's direct involvement (see the HODLer airdrop program) and the support from multiple exchanges on the first day, the market clearly anticipates strong immediate trading interest for 0G. The current sentiment can be summarized as "cautious euphoria"—plenty of hype and FOMO, but also some traders recognize that an initial rally may be followed by a sell-off.
However, in the very short term (the day of listing), hype reigns supreme – many traders plan to buy at the opening, hoping to ride on a significant rally.
3. Chip Structure Analysis
1. Token Supply & Circulation (Supply at Listing)
The total supply at genesis is 1 billion 0G tokens.
The initial circulating supply at the time of listing on Binance was approximately 213.24 million 0G (according to Binance’s announcement). This represents approximately 21.3% of the total supply unlocked at launch.
The remaining approximately 78.7% of tokens are locked and will be unlocked over time. Note that the project has an inflation model of 3.5% annual inflation (so the maximum supply is technically unlimited).
The initial circulating supply includes tokens allocated to the community, ecosystem, and potentially some early supporters (depending on the lockup schedule). According to 0G's token distribution plan, 56% of tokens are allocated for community/ecosystem growth, and 44% for the team and investors. Of this total, the Community Rewards pool receives 13%, the Ecosystem receives 28%, Node operators receive 15%, Backers receive 22%, and Team/Advisors receive 22%.
The project adjusted these percentages in March 2025 to increase the community share (from approximately 9.7% to 13%) and reduce the ecological share.
Tokens from the team and investors are heavily locked up to ensure long-term commitment.
Team and advisors (22%) are likely to have longer vesting periods (typically a 1-year cliff followed by monthly releases over 2–3 years, although exact details are not publicly available).
Backers (22%) are also likely to have lockups (e.g., a 6–12 month cliff period after the TGE, followed by gradual unlocking). There’s no evidence that VCs can sell on day one—in fact, typical practices would prevent them from selling immediately.
A significant portion of the unlocked tokens (approximately 21% at the TGE) came primarily from ecosystem/community allocations. In its March plan, 0G indicated that approximately 49% of ecosystem tokens (28% of the total supply) would be unlocked at the TGE, along with 20% of community tokens (13% of the total supply). This roughly corresponds to approximately 21% of the circulating supply. These unlocked tokens are managed by the foundation and used for a variety of purposes: exchange liquidity, market making, marketing (such as the Binance airdrop), and rewards for early supporters.
3,000,000 0G were distributed to BNB holders through Binance’s HODLer airdrop program, and an additional 18,500,000 0G were reserved for future marketing activities - these were part of the community allocation.
There are also airdrops targeted at the testnet/early community (One Gravity NFTs, Discord characters, etc.); these users can claim a portion of the tokens during the TGE. By comparison (Celestia's airdrop had over 580,000 claimants), this broad distribution to the community means that many small holders own tokens—some of whom will hold on for the long term, but many who will likely take profits quickly.
3. Unlocked by investors for node sales
A key portion of the initial supply came from participants in the “AI Alignment Node” sale (15% of the supply = 150 million tokens). These tokens were sold through CoinList and other platforms as NFTs representing validator nodes.
Node buyers receive a 33% token reward at the TGE, but there is a restriction – immediate withdrawals are penalized: 50% if sold immediately, 35% if sold within 90 days, and 0% after 180 days[36].
The remaining 67% of tokens will be unlocked monthly over 36 months. This mechanism strongly discourages node investors from selling at launch. If they attempt to sell their TGE tokens now, half will be forfeited to the treasury as a penalty. This is important: many node sale participants are likely to hold on for at least six months to avoid penalties, reducing immediate selling pressure. If the price is extremely high relative to their costs, some may still sell now (accepting a 50% loss). For context, purchasers of the node sale paid approximately $0.20–$0.30 per token (based on an estimated $34 million raised for 150 million tokens). Assuming a market price of $2.50, this represents a return of over 10x. Even with a 50% slashing (effectively receiving $1.25), this is still around 5x—so some holders may cash out. Overall, however, this slashing system and the slow unlocking of nodes spreads the potential selling pressure over time, rather than concentrating it all on the first day.
4. Investor Cost and Selling Window (Investor Cost and Potential Selling Point)
VCs who participated in pre-seed/seed likely received tokens at a very low price (probably less than $0.10 or so in pre-seed, considering they acquired part of the supply for $35M - the exact cost is unknown, but it was obviously a significant discount to the market price).
However, as mentioned above, these VC tokens should be initially locked up (e.g., for one year from the TGE). A typical scenario is: if the TGE is in September 2025, investors in the seed round (November 2024) might begin unlocking their tokens approximately 12 months later (late 2025 or early 2026). Therefore, VCs are likely unable to sell within the first few days or even months.
The biggest sellers early on will be airdrop recipients and possibly the foundation's ecosystem allocations (if they use some tokens for liquidity or strategic sales ). The 0G Foundation itself holds a significant amount of tokens for ecosystem use. While they hopefully won't sell a large portion, they may sell a small portion to raise funds or provide liquidity on Binance.
Tokens held by the foundation do not have a defined lockup period, but project teams typically manage their treasury strategically (selling tokens gradually as needed, rather than dumping them all at once). We haven't found any public unlocking schedules other than those described above—but the key point is: there were no significant investor unlocking events within the first 1–3 days. The next known unlocking event is approximately 180 days from now (March 2026), when the node penalty is lifted, at which point node purchasers can withdraw the remaining tokens without penalty—but this is a medium-term event, not an immediate one. Overall, the initial circulating supply of tokens is largely in the hands of friendly parties (the community, the foundation), although the community portion does remain available as a free float for trading.
5. Binance Futures Long/Short Positions & Open Interest
Binance took the rare step of launching 0G USDT-Margined Perpetual Futures ahead of spot trading. This pre-market futures listing (on September 17, 2025) allows for price discovery and speculation ahead of spot trading. The maximum leverage for these futures is 5x (limited to minimize risk).
During the pre-listing period, the funding rate was fixed at 0.005% per four hours (essentially neutral) because premium indices were unavailable in the absence of a spot market. Once trading began, open interest (OI) quickly rose—indicating that many traders had established positions in anticipation of the spot listing. On Binance Futures, open interest (OI) for the 0GUSDT perpetual contract reached approximately $350 million (notional value) around the launch day.
This is a significant amount of open interest for a newly listed project, reflecting high speculative interest. Early data suggests that long positions initially dominated (bullish, anticipating price increases). For example, at one point, the 0G futures price jumped approximately +20%, while open interest was high and funding rates were close to baseline levels. Long-short ratio data is not fully public, but given the enthusiasm at the time, the influx of longs likely caused funding rates to turn positive (meaning longs paid shorts). There may also have been speculative short(anticipating a sell-off after a rally), but overall sentiment favored bulls before the spot market opened.
After the initial surge on the listing day (discussed below), OI dropped by approximately 37%, indicating that a large number of positions were liquidated or liquidated during the sharp fluctuations [43]. In short, futures trading showed significant bullish leverage before listing - this indicates that traders are highly confident (or greedy). This can amplify first-day volatility: leveraged longs can quickly push prices up, but once prices reverse, forced liquidations of longs can accelerate declines. Therefore, the futures market is a double-edged sword. We also note that Gate.io has also launched 0G perpetual contracts (0GUSDT perpetual contracts are available on Gate), providing more venues for speculation.
Since 0G is a brand new token issued on its own chain (and has a cross-chain BEP-20/ERC-20 representation), the tracking of on-chain whale is still limited. However, we can infer some categories of whale:
(1) VCs/Foundations — Due to the lockup/vesting period, they are unlikely to sell on the first day; (2) Exchange market makers — Exchanges such as Binance may hold a large amount of 0G inventory from the team placement to provide liquidity;
(3) Early supporters — Early supporters who received a large allocation through airdrops or node purchases. Some of these individuals may be considered “whale” if they have accumulated a large number of tokens through testnet activity or node purchases. Given 0G’s anti-Sybil measures (they manually screened out fake accounts during airdrops), the likelihood of a single airdrop participant receiving an extremely large allocation is low. We need to keep an eye on exchange wallets — for example, if a known large address deposits a large amount of tokens to Binance within a few days of listing, that could indicate a sell-off.
Currently, there is no clear data on whale accumulation or dispersion, except that high futures open interest (OI) suggests that some large traders are very interested. The previous few days of trading will reveal whether any large holders are selling.
0G’s listing isn’t exclusive to Binance—it’s more of a broad release across major platforms, which is good for liquidity.
Binance spot went live at 10:00 UTC on September 22, 2025, along with KuCoin and Kraken. KuCoin even held a “call auction” opening for 0G/USDT from 09:00–10:00 UTC on September 22 to account for initial volatility.
Kraken also announced that it would begin trading 0G starting September 22. This simultaneous launch of multiple exchanges is reminiscent of the launch of Celestia, when multiple exchanges simultaneously launched TIA, triggering a global buying frenzy.
The direct impact is very broad market coverage - many traders on different platforms can participate, which may drive up demand.
This also means that arbitrage will connect prices and liquidity will be more sufficient than if it were listed on a single exchange.
Given its trading volume, Binance had the greatest impact—its official announcement and HODLer airdrop (0G) to BNB holders generated significant attention. Binance also placed 0G on its "Alpha" pre-launch platform, where users could earn the airdrop by spending Binance Alpha Points. This suggests Binance is giving 0G special treatment (Alpha is a new listing framework), likely because they believe it has significant potential.
In the short term, the Binance listing itself is a huge catalyst - usually new coins listed on Binance will see an initial rise due to the "Binance effect", where a large influx of users and hype will drive prices up (at least in the early stages).
Data shows that Binance listings often generate significant returns on their first day, followed by a gradual cooling. However, due to the presence of multiple exchanges, some price discovery may have already occurred (e.g., KuCoin's call auction), potentially limiting excessive price increases. Furthermore, Binance launched futures early, allowing some speculative demand to be released there, potentially dampening the spot market frenzy (or conversely, enabling higher leverage-driven buying). Overall, the exchange's listing schedule was highly favorable: top exchanges immediately accepted 0G, which was positive for accessibility. On the other hand, with widespread accessibility, any sell-off would also spread rapidly (no isolated market).
To summarize the token distribution: the initial circulating supply is relatively low (21%), and the majority is controlled by the project or long-term participants. Mechanisms such as vesting and slashing are in place to prevent sudden sell-offs. This could create a supply-demand imbalance when demand is high and sellers are low, favoring price increases.
Indeed, in many past listings, low circulating supply combined with high hype often led to dramatic price spikes. However, once trading begins, short-term speculators (including those who received airdropped tokens) will provide some circulating supply. If high prices induce more early holders to sell during the lock-up period (for example, if some block producer holders accept fines), the actual circulating supply may increase. Therefore, the key question is the strength of the buying power entering the market relative to these profit-taking investors.
4. Debut performance of similar projects
Observing the initial market performance of similar high-profile projects can provide a reference for the potential trend of 0G. Here are some relevant comparisons:
Celestia is often cited as a comparable case study because it pioneered the modular data availability narrative. TIA launched in late October 2023 amidst immense hype. Initially, it surged from around $1–$2 to around $5 within the first day or two, and continued to climb over the following weeks (reaching a high of around $20 during the modular blockchain craze in early 2024).
However, this story became a cautionary tale – Celestia conducted a massive airdrop and allocated a large number of shares to investors, and with the token unlock cliff approaching in 2024, a massive amount of supply flooded the market.
By the end of 2024, TIA had fallen over 90% from its peak ($20 ➝ ~$1.65)[51]. Venture investors who had bought in early at low prices (even major funds like Polychain) aggressively sold, destroying the price.
Today TIA trades around $1.7–$2 (down about 90% from its all-time high), after the initial hype died down.
Lesson: Celestia generated huge short-term gains for first-day buyers (if they sold near the high), but those who held on for the long term during the vesting period were trapped. This highlights that if the token release schedule isn't gentle, an initial high valuation can be replaced by a subsequent large correction. The good news for 0G is that their vesting appears to be more gradual (unlike Celestia's 50% all-at-once vesting)—but a significant amount of supply will eventually be released, so a Celestia-like pattern of initial gains followed by declines in the medium term is a real risk.
Polyhedra is another project at the intersection of AI and ZK infrastructure (they even advertise themselves as the "Wanchain for AI"). They launched their ZK token (also known as ZKJ) in March 2024. The initial public offering (listed on exchanges like OKX) was met with significant hype (the initial offering price was approximately $3.00). However, this proved a loss for investors: ZKJ currently trades at approximately $0.17, down approximately 94% from its initial offering price (only ~0.06x its initial offering price). Essentially, Polyhedra's token collapsed after launch, likely due to overpricing of its FDV and a lack of immediate adoption. This demonstrates that not all hyped infrastructure projects can sustain their initial price—if fundamentals or token economics disappoint, the market can quickly correct. Polyhedra's case serves as a cautionary tale: if 0G's FDV reaches billions at a multi-dollar price, it must be supported by future usage; otherwise, a similar decline is possible once the initial offering hype fades.
Ethena (ENA): Ethena is a decentralized stablecoin protocol (not technically identical, but serving as a reference for a recently launched and hyped project). Its governance token, ENA, was not initially listed on Binance. However, Binance listed Ethena's stablecoin, USDe, in September 2025, causing ENA (traded on other exchanges) to surge. ENA peaked at approximately $1.52, but after a large-scale unlock and the initial hype subsided, it has fallen to approximately $0.58 (a 61% drop from its all-time high). Ethena conducted a large airdrop in early 2024, which gradually entered circulation and depressed the price. This further highlights the fact that airdrop recipients often sell after the initial wave, driving down the price. For 0G, the airdrop allocation was relatively small relative to the total supply, but it was still a factor—some of the over 3 million airdropped tokens were quickly sold on the secondary market. We may see a scenario where 0G initially rises but then retraces as early holders take profits (as ENA did following the news).
Other recent projects listed on Binance (Layer-1 and popular projects):
In 2023–2025, several L1 or rollup tokens were launched with great enthusiasm, such as APT (Aptos), SUI (Sui), SEI (Sei Network), MNT (Mantle), LINEA, etc. An observed pattern is that prices often surge on the first day or in the first few days (if the initial price is low, sometimes it rises 2×–5× from the listing price), followed by a pullback.
For example, Aptos (APT) opened at around $7 in October 2022, surged to $15+ within a few days, and then fell back. SUI opened at around $1.5 in May 2023, soared to $2+, and then steadily declined to below $0.5 for several months.
Mantle (MNT) was listed at around $0.40 in 2023, surged to $0.60, and then fell below $0.30. This demonstrates that initial momentum can drive prices significantly higher, but maintaining these highs can be difficult once the hype dies down and more tokens are unlocked.
Another relevant example is Omni Network (OMNI), which launched in 2024: it plummeted over 50% on launch day and has not recovered due to significant immediate unlocking and possible insider selling. Clearly, results vary: some projects have seen significant short-term gains for traders (e.g., early Celestia, APT), while others have experienced significant declines from the outset (Omni, Polyhedra). The key drivers appear to be the imbalance between circulating supply and demand and whether early holders sold.
Perpetual DEX tokens (e.g., Aster): The perpetual DEX Aster (ASTER) launched on Binance's Alpha platform and triggered an airdrop frenzy. Its price saw an astronomical surge in a short period of time. Such surges are rare and typically retreat—in fact, Aster experienced a pullback after the initial enthusiasm. While technically not entirely comparable, this demonstrates that Binance's new Alpha launch can trigger speculative frenzy. 0G also launched on Binance Alpha (with an airdrop to Alpha Points holders), which likely amplified initial speculative interest.
Key Takeaway: Most comparable "hot narrative" tokens exhibit a boom-and-bust pattern. Short-term traders can potentially reap significant returns if they capitalize on the boom, but be careful not to chase highs or hold on too long as the unlock approaches. Celestia plummeted 90% after a year, Polyhedra plummeted 94% after a few months, and Ethena fell 60% from its peak—all warning signs that fundamentals will eventually take hold and overvaluations will correct. However, in the short term, 1-3 day windows, the "boom" phase often dominates—momentum can drive prices far above perceived fair value simply due to limited supply and strong demand. For 0G, as an AI-centric project with strong backing, it may attract more momentum than the average project. However, plans for exits or risk management should also be in place, as history shows these early surges aren't always sustainable.
5. Short-term price trend possibilities and risks
1. Short-term upside potential
0G is likely to see significant price increases in the first 1-3 days of trading, driven by a combination of hype and limited supply. Many factors favor this short-term price increase: Binance listing excitement, FOMO across multiple exchanges, a strong narrative (AI + modularity) that attracts a broad range of buyers, and relatively low circulating supply (investors are locked in and node sellers are penalized for selling).
Initial futures trading on Binance already hinted at bullish sentiment—0G broke through $1.50 and surged to approximately $3.50 at its early market peak. This suggests that buyers actively pushed the price higher once spot trading opened. If momentum continues, 0G could return to the ~$3+ range, or even briefly rise further. In absolute terms, a price of $4 equates to approximately $850M in circulating market capitalization (and approximately $4B in FDV), a not unthinkable scenario for a highly touted L1 project during a bull market.
By late 2025, the broader crypto market is in an upcycle (Bitcoin > $100k, etc.), providing a favorable backdrop for a surge in speculative Altcoin. Furthermore, the AI angle could appeal not only to crypto traders but also to tech enthusiasts; AI tokens attracted retail investors earlier this year. In short, there's a scenario where 0G's price explodes on its launch day—if demand completely overwhelms selling, the opening price could see a rapid increase of approximately +50% to +100% in the short term. Some highly optimistic traders are watching to see if 0G could become the "next TIA" in terms of explosive growth.
Notably, posts on Binance's own newsfeed also predict volatility and upward movement. For example, one analysis noted that "after breaking through $1.5, 0G touched $3.5 before encountering resistance," demonstrating the rapidity of its move. If $3.5 represents a mid-term high, a fresh surge in buying could trigger another wave of buying to retest or even break above it. Therefore, a short-term rally is quite possible, and those who buy early and sell on the strength could potentially reap quick profits.
2. Short-term downside risks
Despite the upside potential, short-term risk is very high. Volatility is extreme—as mentioned earlier, 0G fell from $3.50 to approximately $2.40 on its first day. A coin that doubles in value within hours and then drops 30% is also likely to fall further. If a "All In" investor enters the market at the wrong time—for example, buying near the high—you could face immediate and significant losses.
The main risk is that once the initial buyers are allocated, if there are no new buyers at higher prices, the price could drop significantly as circulating supply begins to increase (early holders take profits). We expect some airdrop recipients and early backers to sell within the first few days to lock in profits, which would create downward pressure after the initial rally.
Furthermore, any leveraged long futures positions entered during a pullback could be forced to liquidate, accelerating the decline. Order book liquidity can be thin in the first few hours (even with the presence of market makers, rapid market declines can be significant). Therefore, a single large market sell could quickly drive prices down. Another risk factor is that whales or foundations quietly sell off some of their tokens during a hype period - for example, if the 0G team wanted to raise funds, the ideal time would be during the peak of hype when prices are high (we have seen some projects do this).
There's no indication they'll do so, but it's a possibility. Furthermore, the overall crypto market could pull back at any time; if Bitcoin/Ethereum pulls back this week, newly listed Altcoin could see even greater declines. Technically, after an initial peak, price discovery could decline as hype fades and early adopters begin to take profits. Many newly listed coins have a pattern of initially surging higher, followed by a 30–50% retracement from their peak.
For example, if $3.50 is a short-term high for 0G, a pullback to around $2 or lower is possible (and has already occurred intraday). If 0G opens at a very high price (for example, due to the initial auction pricing opening at around $3), it could even fall from there if that price proves unsustainable. Given previous examples (Omni -50% on day 1; many other projects -30% within a few days), it's easy to see a -20% to -50% drop from any given peak price within the first 1-3 days.
Given the above, we recommend extreme caution on the IPO day. Short-term results are essentially a coin-flipping bet with significant volatility. While a lucky rise might yield a reward, it can also quickly reverse. A more prudent strategy for these offerings is to gradually build a position rather than rushing in at the market open. For example, you could invest a portion of your capital (e.g., 25–30%) at different price points rather than all at once. That way, if the price surges, you can participate; if it plummets, you still have the funds to add to your position at a lower level (or at least take less risk upfront). Perhaps you can wait for the first pullback after the opening rush—usually prices will surge first and then fall back, and this pullback may be safer than the first transaction price. 1-3 Day Perspective: OG stocks are more likely to experience an early rally, so a well-timed entry could yield quick profits. However, chasing the rally after the price has risen by more than 100% from the listing price is risky. If you see the price of OG double or triple in a matter of minutes on the first day, be wary—it's usually unsustainable in the short term. If you still decide to buy heavily on the first day, consider setting a strict stop-loss or having a clear exit plan on the retracement.
Our Conclusion (Our Judgment): From a purely fundamental and market sentiment perspective, 0G is one of the more solid projects to launch this year and is likely to experience strong initial gains. If you have a high risk tolerance and intend to flip within 1-3 days, there's a reasonable chance that buying early on day 1 could yield profits, provided you can sell before the market reverses. However, the risk of a sharp pullback or a large investor sell-off always exists. In trading, preserving capital is more important than chasing the entire upside; it's better to miss out on some gains than to lose a significant amount in a sudden sell-off.
Generally speaking, it's not recommended to go all-in on 0G upon opening. A more prudent strategy is to diversify your holdings. If you're extremely bullish on short-term gains, you can allocate some funds to 0G on the first day, but be sure to keep a significant reserve fund. Pay close attention to price action in the initial hours: if 0G surges significantly, consider taking quick profits; if it retreats significantly, it may be an opportunity to re-enter the market, but only with a controlled position. Furthermore, consider that after 1-3 days, as more tokens are unlocked (for example, through community rewards), downward pressure may increase. Therefore, don't expect to "HODL" long-term at these initially high valuations without volatility risk management.
In summary, 0G has strong fundamentals and short-term hype, but volatility in both directions can be significant. For most investors, a wait-and-see approach or a small position on the first day of trading is wiser than going all-in. If you participate in first-day trading, be nimble and cautious. Protect your downside risk. Sometimes, avoiding the initial frenzy (or investing only in a small amount) and then buying in when prices stabilize is a wiser strategy. dayu.xyz Crypto Investment Guide