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Last night, Claude Opus 4.5 was released, boasting programming capabilities surpassing Gemini 3 Pro and GPT-5.1. In just one week, the AI community has completed a closed-loop iteration. The global coding throne has changed hands again. Just a couple of days ago, I discussed Google's recent surge in popularity, the overwhelmingly positive reviews for the Gemini 3 release, and many's belief that Google's rise inevitably leads to Nvidia's decline and the inadequacy of other large-scale models. This misunderstands the significance of the competitive landscape: Firstly, I have high hopes for Google; its comprehensive AI industry chain layout promises excellent future momentum. However, the better Google's AI performs, the more anxious they are. It's Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, Apple, and OpenAI. Until the final competitive landscape is established, they will continue to increase investment to catch up with and even surpass Google. Today, new media reported that Meta is planning to buy Google's TPUs, but it's unlikely that Microsoft, Amazon (a cloud computing provider), and OpenAI will purchase TPUs, as they are direct competitors, or they might make small purchases as supplements. Looking ahead from the current point in time, there is still enormous room for growth, and the market has not yet fully tapped into its potential (penetration rate is only 10%), far from reaching the stage of a zero-sum game. At the same time, technology iterates rapidly, and a single company's technological lead may only be maintained for months or weeks.

qinbafrank
@qinbafrank
11-23
AI的问题与危机,之前聊过23年以来市场经历了三次关于的AI的大辩论,从23年下半年AI是不是趋势?到25年初AI需不要要这么多算力?再到当下AI未来能不能赚钱,能不能cover巨大的资本开支?这次辩论质疑也是一步步扩大:从开始质疑各家新云厂商债务资本机构不合理、到质疑openai在四处画饼质疑点已经变成 x.com/qinbafrank/sta…
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