The storm has arrived right on schedule: liquidity magnetism keeps intensifying, and the Stop Hunt is just around the corner 🌪 Last night during US trading hours, BTC got absolutely wrecked. A lot of folks have already lost their patience after endless chop, and as their portfolios bleed, they’re starting to hate on BTC… But if you’ve been following Beggar for a while, you know this dump was telegraphed well in advance. Picking up from my last analysis, here’s a quick update on the current state of the market 👇 (Chart was taken yesterday, current price is around 82K) As the previous post’s title said: “Downside risk increasing.” With BTC’s current PA, a range Stop Hunt is basically confirmed. If you missed the last breakdown (linked below), highly recommend you check it out first to better understand my bias going forward. First, let’s revisit the “80.5K liquidity grab.” For over a month, I’ve been repeating in almost every daily post: 💬 “BTC needs to revisit 80.5K and run stops for a proper bottom structure.” 💬 “As long as the liquidity below isn’t cleared, it’s hard for price to rally smoothly.” Last night’s drop took us to the “83.5K Equal Lows” I’ve been hammering on about. Some of you might wonder: “If liquidity is at 83.5K, why target 80.5K?” The logic is simple: 1️⃣ 83.5K is a liquidity cluster (Equal Lows), so it magnetizes price. 2️⃣ Once that liquidity gets swept, price will break below 83.5K, printing a new wick low. 3️⃣ That new wick low is almost certainly going to be near 80.5K, forming a fresh set of Equal Lows. This is exactly why I keep stressing that “80.5K needs to be taken.” Once 83.5K gets swept, whether we nuke straight down or get a quick bounce, the new low will create fresh liquidity near 80.5K—drawing price down again. This is the “liquidity gravity” I’ve been nagging about every single post for the past month. It’s all out there, nothing hidden—feel free to check the receipts. // Zooming out, the past two months of chop can be seen as a textbook “range model.” As shown in the diagram (right side of the chart), I’ve broken down this trading model before. If you want to study the details, check these threads 🔗: 📖 Trading Q&A: My Two Methods for Contract Swing Entries x.com/market_beggar/status/194...… 📖 RektProof Model Translation & My Insights x.com/market_beggar/status/194...… Quick refresher on the core concepts: ➡️ After a nuke, the bounce’s origin is “Range Low.” ➡️ When the bounce ends and price starts to retrace, that’s “Range High.” ➡️ If there’s a Stop Hunt at Range High, the target is Range Low (and vice versa). If you’re still fuzzy on what a Stop Hunt is, I’ve written a detailed guide before—check it out👇: 📖 Why I Never Trade Breakouts: The Market Maker’s Liquidity Trap x.com/market_beggar/status/190...… // To sum up the current situation: 1️⃣ BTC’s chop fits the range model, and we’ve already seen a Stop Hunt at the top. 2️⃣ Logically, the next target is “Range Low”—i.e. 80.5K. 3️⃣ The liquidity distribution inside the range also supports a sweep of 80.5K. In short: “Everything’s playing out exactly as expected, and this drop isn’t over yet‼️” BTC might not nuke straight down to the previous low—it could keep ranging or even bounce. But with the current liquidity setup, odds are high that 80.5K gets tagged in the end. If you’re a student, 9-5er, or just don’t have time to babysit the charts, my advice: “Focus on this major BTC range.” Especially watch for signs of a Stop Hunt when 80.5K gets tapped ⚠️ This strategy is less stressful, higher time frame (so more forgiving), and helps you avoid getting chopped up during dead market hours. No matter what happens next: ➡️ Scenario 1: Stop Hunt at 80.5K ➡️ Scenario 2: Stop Hunt at 74K ➡️ Or, no Stop Hunt at either level and we get a deeper correction You’ll be prepared, without panicking during market dumps. As for spotting Stop Hunts, I’ve explained it many times before—here’s a quick refresher: 🔺 Price action: Break below and quick reclaim 🔺 Confirmation: Is the reclaim backed by strong taker activity? For detailed logic, check this post (won’t repeat everything here): 📖 Full Receipts: How I Used Liquidity to Perfectly Predict Two Major ETH Pumps x.com/market_beggar/status/195...… // Today’s thread is both a “post-mortem” and a look ahead at my market view & scenarios. I’m probably one of the few consistently warning about “liquidity gravity” risks, and with the market moving fast, I broke my usual rule and dropped another technical post this week (normally I only do one per week 🥸). So far, price action is validating my thesis and the power of liquidity. Hope my daily reminders helped you avoid some risk during this chop. If you got rekt in this drop, feel free to share in the comments, or DM me/join my group if you want to talk it out. That’s it for today—hope this helps you all out there 🫡