
                                    <div>
                                      <h3>Market View</h3>
                                      <p>Bullish on BTC, short-term rebound possible</p>
                                      <h3>Trading Strategy</h3>
                                      <p>Participate cautiously based on your own risk tolerance and capital management, pay attention to position sizing</p>
                                      <h3>Core Logic</h3>
                                      <p>BRS=100 signals short-term panic risk release, BTC is oversold in the 75k-78k range with potential for rebound, this range coincides with the middle of the URPD double-anchor structure where historical support effect exists, but indicator is not 100% reliable</p>
                                    </div>
                                    

BRS=100 ！这是一个短期恐慌性风险释放的信号。
意味着 BTC 在7.5w-7.8w的价格范围内，超跌后反弹的可能性。同时，这里也正好是URPD上“双锚结构”的中间，以过去的经验来看，会产生支撑效应。
需要注意的是：该指标胜率并非100%，2022年熊市阶段就出现过失败的案例（参考图2）。
请根据自己抗风险能力，仓位控制，资金规划做出合适的交易决策，我的分享不能成为你账户盈利的背书！

昨晚，BTC下跌至$86,500时，BRS最高升至55；虽然升速很快，但距离峰值100还有一段距离。如果不破8.7w，短期内仍有反弹的可能性；但对我来说这里不是最理想的介入点，无论是短线最多还是现货加仓。  x.com/Murphychen888/…

Murphy

Twitter

BRS=100! This is a signal of short-term panic-driven risk release.

It suggests that BTC is likely to see a rebound after an oversold drop in the $75k-$78k range. Interestingly, this also aligns with the midpoint of the "dual-anchor structure" on the URPD chart, which has historically provided support.

But keep in mind: this indicator isn’t foolproof—there were failed cases during the 2022 bear market (see chart 2 for reference).

Always trade according to your own risk tolerance, position sizing, and capital management. My analysis is NOT financial advice or a guarantee of your profits!

Bitcoin's fundamentals have never changed; what has changed is its price in a continuously depreciating fiat currency system.

The real risk of Bitcoin is never price pullbacks.

Author: Nancy, PANews
Original title: No Black Swan Events, Four Atypical Guesses About the Culprit Behind Bitcoin Overselling
---------------------------------------------------------------
A black swan-style crash has arrived, but we haven't seen where the black swan is, which is even more unsettling.
Almost without warning, Bitcoin suddenly plummeted, entering its third-largest oversold zone in history, causing both long positions to collapse and psychological barriers to fall. This has left the market perplexed...

The absence of black swan events suggests there may be other reasons for Bitcoin's current oversold condition.

Daily market data review and trend analysis, produced by PANews.
1. Market Observation
On February 6th, global financial markets experienced a "Black Friday," with mainstream assets initially showing gains across the board. However, a sell-off on Wall Street intensified, affecting almost all sectors, with only 200 stocks rising in the S&P 500. Weak employment data fueled investor concerns about economic resilience. US job openings in December fell to their lowest level since 2020, while January layoffs hit a record high since 2009. All three major stock indexes fell by more than 1%. Technology stocks were hit hardest, with the software sector declining for the eighth consecutive day...