On August 11, 2025, I made a bold prediction. At that time, Bitcoin was above $120,000, market sentiment was near frenzied, and almost no one was willing to seriously discuss the word "risk." My conclusion was simple: a sharp drop was imminent, with a target price around $60,000. Many people thought it was exaggerated, even impossible. But the market doesn't listen to sentiment; it only recognizes structure. So far, Bitcoin has already dipped as low as $60,000. The trend isn't over; the logic is still unfolding. This wasn't luck, nor was it just wishful thinking. It was a judgment repeatedly validated by cycles, structure, and capital behavior. True value lies not in being right every time, but in your ability to see the risk when everyone else is most optimistic.