[분석 “BTC 공포·탐욕 지수 바닥 신호…주요 지표는 추가 하락 경고”]
현재 시장에 만연한 극단적 공포 심리가 바닥 신호로 해석될 수 있다는 시각이 제기되는 가운데, 선물 시장의 약세 흐름과 주요 기술적 지표는 추가적인 하락 가능성을 시사하고 있다고 코인텔레그래프가 복수의 애널리스트들을 인용해 보도했다. 암호화폐 트레이더 미카엘 반 데 포페(Michaël van de Poppe)는 “주말 동안 비트코인 공포·탐욕 지수는 5까지 하락하며 사상 최저치를 기록했다. BTC 일봉 상대강도지수(RSI) 역시 15까지 떨어지며 극단적 과매도 구간에 진입했다. 이러한 수치는 2018년 약세장과 2020년 3월 코로나19 급락 당시와 유사한 수준”이라고 진단했다. 크립토퀀트는 “현재 BTC는 50일 이동평균선(약 8만7000달러)과 200일 이동평균선(약 10만2000달러)을 모두 하회하고 있다. BTC 와 금 가격을 비교한 Z-스코어(평균값과 얼마나 떨어져 있는지를 표준편차 단위로 나타낸 지표)도 -1.6을 기록해 매도 우위가 지속되고 있음을 시사한다”고 분석했다.
-코인니스

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[Analysis: "BTC Fear and Greed Index Signals Bottom… Key Indicators Warn of Further Downside"]
Amidst speculation that the current market's widespread extreme fear could signal a bottom, Cointelegraph reported that the futures market's bearish trend and key technical indicators suggest further declines, citing multiple analysts. Cryptocurrency trader Michaël van de Poppe stated, "Over the weekend, the Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index fell to 5, hitting a record low. The BTC daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) also fell to 15, entering extreme oversold territory. These levels are similar to those seen during the 2018 bear market and the March 2020 COVID-19 crash." CryptoQuant analyzed, "Currently, BTC is below both the 50-day moving average (approximately $87,000) and the 200-day moving average (approximately $102,000). The Z-score (a measure of how far apart the price is from the average in standard deviations) comparing BTC to gold also stands at -1.6, suggesting continued selling pressure." -Coinness

Bitcoin's price briefly touched $60,000 last week. Under a diminishing returns model, this is no mere noise. The market is touching the weakest link in the entire four-year cycle and logarithmic growth framework.

With the gains at the top of the Bitcoin cycle already significantly compressed, a further historically deep correction would completely negate the allure of its classic cycles.

This is not a prediction; it's a mathematical law.

Cycle Top Gains are Compressing

Historical Bitcoin Cycle Tops:

· 2013: ~$1,242

· 2017: ~$19,700

· 2021: ~...

$55,000 will be the lifeline for Bitcoin.

Institutional demand for tokenized finance in Asia is accelerating as the finchain avalanche collaboration moves to bring traditional assets on-chain at scale.
Summary
FinChain deepens strategic coope...

FinChain Avalanche partnership targets RWA tokenization and institutional liquidity in Asia

The crypto market experienced a sharp drop this afternoon, with Ethereum falling below the $2,000 mark at 3 PM Taiwan time, according to Hyperliquid [...]
The article, titled "Machi Big Brother Suffers Huge Losses and Didn't Sleep All Night? Ethereum Falls Below 2000 Magnesium, Panic Arrives, Opens Long BlockTempo and Loses 120,000 Magnesium," was originally published on BlockTempo, the most influential blockchain ABMedia media.

Machi Big Brother lost so much money he couldn't sleep all night? Ethereum fell below 2000, causing panic. He long positions in ETH and HYPE, then sold at a loss, losing all 120,000 in magnesium.