渣打银行分析师 Geoff Kendrick 预计，比特币在美国总统大选当天可能达到历史最高水平 7.3 万美元以上。该预测基于对比特币衍生品和交易量的分析。Kendrick 表示，如果特朗普赢得大选，期权价格可能上涨约 4%，随后几天总价格或将上涨约 10%。分析师强调，期权市场的动态为预测选举后价格走势提供了参考，12 月 27 日到期、行权价为 8 万美元的比特币看涨期权持仓量巨大，表明价格...

<div>渣打银行分析师 Geoff Kendrick 预计，比特币在美国总统大选当天可能达到历史最高水平 7.3 万美元以上。该预测基于对比特币衍生品和交易量的分析。Kendrick 表示，如果特朗普赢得大选，期权价格可能上涨约 4%，随后几天总价格或将上涨约 10%。分析师强调，期权市场的动态为预测选举后价格走势提供了参考，12 月 27 日到期、行权价为 8 万美元的比特币看涨期权持仓量巨大，表明价格可能迅速向这一水平靠拢。（The Block）<div> </div><br><br></div>

渣打银行分析师预测美国大选日比特币可能突破 7.3 万美元

Here is the English translation, with the content inside <> left untranslated:

Standard Chartered analyst Geoff Kendrick expects bitcoin to reach a record high of over $73,000 on the day of the US presidential election. This forecast is based on an analysis of bitcoin derivatives and trading volume. Kendrick stated that if Trump wins the election, option prices could rise by around 4%, and the overall price could then rise by around 10% in the following days. The analyst emphasized that the dynamics of the options market provide a reference for predicting the post-election price trend, and the large open interest in the $80,000 bitcoin call option expiring on December 27 indicates that the price...

<div>Geoff Kendrick, an analyst at Standard Chartered Bank, expects Bitcoin to reach a historic high of over $73,000 on the day of the US presidential election. This forecast is based on an analysis of Bitcoin derivatives and trading volume. Kendrick said that if Trump wins the election, option prices could rise by about 4%, and the total price could rise by about 10% in the following days. The analyst emphasized that the dynamics of the options market provide a reference for predicting the post-election price trend, and the large open interest in the Bitcoin call option expiring on December 27 with a strike price of $80,000 indicates that the price may quickly approach this level. (The Block)</div>

Standard Chartered Bank analysts predict that Bitcoin may exceed $73,000 on US election day

The author: Revc, Jinse Finance

Preface
The 2024 US presidential election has entered the final sprint, and the political situation has reversed again. Trump has regained the lead in betting odds and polls in key swing states, making the election result more unpredictable. This political turmoil has already affected the global financial markets, especially the performance of the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin has attempted to break through the $70,000 mark several times in the past week. Although the volatility is high, investors remain cautious, showing a more conservative investment atmosphere, as they wait for a clear direction in the US stock market.

Tense election changes
According to the latest forecast by <The Economist>, the former...

Two weeks to the election: Is the best deal of the year coming?

Odaily Planet Daily Report: Presto, a trading and financial services company, said that the US election could lead to a collapse in the bond market, which will also affect other assets such as Bitcoin. Jones said that in the current risk environment, he is optimistic about Bitcoin, gold, commodities and Nasdaq stocks. Analysts believe that the Republican candidate Trump and the Democratic candidate Harris have both promised "fiscal extravagance", leading to a continuous rise in government debt levels, which exacerbates the risk of a bond market collapse. In addition, the "Bitcoin Act of 2024" currently awaiting Congressional approval may help stabilize US debt, and may even stabilize the global financial system. (The Block)

Analyst: US election may trigger bond market collapse, affecting assets such as Bitcoin

Odaily Planet Daily Report: According to David Lawant, the research director of cryptocurrency market maker FalconX, "I believe the market consensus is that Bitcoin is likely to perform well regardless of the election outcome, and our analysis shows that the options activity in the market exhibits a clear bullish bias around the upcoming election." The Republican candidate, former President Trump, has openly supported cryptocurrencies, to the extent that Bitcoin has been seen as a so-called "Trump trade." His Democratic opponent, current Vice President Harris, has promised to support the industry's regulatory framework, which contrasts with the Biden administration's crackdown on the industry. Non-political factors such as further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve are seen as fueling optimism. (Bloomberg)