Continued regulatory pressure may force Web3 developers to leave the United States

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Web3 technology, as one of the latest frontiers of the digital age, is reshaping the financial, social, and commercial sectors at an unprecedented pace. However, the battle between innovation and compliance has never ceased, and the "winter" of regulation seems to be gradually descending. The policy attitudes towards the "6050I clause" and the "Tornado Cash sanctions" remain unresolved. This article will explore the complex current state and possible future evolution of global Web3 regulation from the perspective of Aiyong, and shed light on the intricate relationship between technology, policy, and freedom.

I. The Regulatory Maze of the United States: Guardian of Freedom or Obstacle to Innovation?

The United States has long claimed to be the global leader in technology, but in the policies on cryptocurrencies and Web3, it has presented a different picture of "fragmented regulation".

1. The Glow of Centralization: From Regulatory Uncertainty to Policy Daybreak

The new U.S. government may present positive signs in the regulatory direction of the securities and banking sectors, particularly in the areas of stablecoin issuance and centralized trading markets, which may lead to a clear and unified policy framework. This stable expectation undoubtedly injects a strong tonic into centralized enterprises, reducing the risk of stagnation due to policy uncertainty. For example, in the debate over stablecoins and securitization, more and more consensus is being reached, and the market's panic over regulation is gradually easing, with the dawn of compliance beginning to emerge.

However, it is worth noting that the dawn of policy does not mean unconditional relaxation. In recent years, the SEC has been increasingly strict in its enforcement against centralized exchanges such as Coinbase and Kraken, expanding the definition of unregistered securities, trying to regulate them within the glow of centralization. It can be said that although the centralized market may welcome policy dividends, regulators will obviously not allow it to get out of control, and gray areas still exist.

2. The Shadow of Privacy and Decentralization: The Crisis of Survival for Hybrid Services and Developers

Compared to the relative leniency towards centralization, decentralized innovators face much greater pressure. CoinCenter specifically pointed out two policies: the 6050I clause and the Tornado Cash sanctions, which are almost directly aimed at the key to on-chain privacy and the survival of developers.

The core of the 6050I clause is that anyone who receives the equivalent of or more than $10,000 in cryptocurrency must report the detailed identity information of the counterparty to the IRS. However, in decentralized applications, the transaction parties may be mutually unknown, which makes this mandatory requirement technically impossible to implement. At the same time, this unconditional reporting requirement also raises serious privacy concerns.

The more iconic event is the Tornado Cash sanctions. This on-chain privacy mixing service was directly listed on the sanctions list by the U.S. Treasury Department, and the developers even face legal risks. This sanctioning action not only targeted a tool, but also publicly challenged on-chain privacy. CoinCenter believes that this selective attack may prompt many developers to actively distance themselves from the United States, or even from public view.

II. The European Union and Asia: Breeding Ground for Innovation or Harsh Constraints?

The European Union and Asia have also shown dynamic stage-specific characteristics in their attitudes towards Web3 regulation.

1. The Two-Faced European Union: The Tight Constraints in the Regulatory Sandbox

The European Union has become the "pioneer" of Web3 regulation with its MiCA (Crypto-Asset Markets) framework. This framework provides a comprehensive set of rules for cryptocurrency issuance and market trading, aiming to provide clear compliance guidance for the European crypto industry. However, this "systematized" compliance management does not mean a relaxed and carefree environment. The EU is also pushing for strict anti-money laundering regulations, requiring all participants to keep more detailed records of user identities.

The seemingly open regulatory sandbox is not purely an innovative breeding ground. For decentralized applications, the MiCA framework retains some "exemption" gray areas, but the specific implementation still faces many obstacles. On the one hand, they want to promote compliant innovation, but on the other hand, they are constantly raising the compliance threshold, making this dual-track strategy leave the future of decentralization equally uncertain.

2. Asia: From the Freedom of No Regulation to the Strict Institutional Constraints

Asia was once considered a "safe haven" for crypto assets, but as the market has expanded, regulation has gradually tightened. Taking Singapore as an example, the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) has been continuously introducing new regulations while opening up the crypto market, with more and more restrictions on high-leverage trading and retail users. In Japan, the world's first stablecoin regulatory law clearly requires stablecoins to be issued by banks or trust companies, undoubtedly setting higher entry barriers for Web3 companies.

In Hong Kong, although it has recently reopened the Virtual Asset Service Provider (VASP) license in an attempt to attract capital back, it also comes with harsh regulatory terms. The tightening of policies in these regions marks a gradual shift in Asia from "embracing innovation" to "compliance first".

III. The Gambit of Privacy, Freedom, and National Security: The Bottom Line of Compliance and the Red Line of Innovation

The compliance issue in the Web3 field is gradually evolving into a gambit between privacy, freedom, and national security.

1. The Disappearance of Privacy?

The Tornado Cash sanctions have shown us a choice: privacy or national security. To some extent, the existence of privacy mixing services is no different from traditional cash transactions, both aiming to protect the financial privacy of users. However, the open on-chain records make these services a particular target for law enforcement.

CoinCenter believes that the attack on decentralized privacy tools may in the long run weaken the innovative willingness of decentralized developers. This policy choice is likely to cause Web3 to lose one of its core attributes - privacy.

2. The Logic of National Security

At the same time, policymakers are leaning more towards national security. In on-chain transactions, cases of terrorist organizations and criminals using technology to evade sanctions are common, which become the legitimate reasons for regulators to intervene. In this context, the call to protect privacy is often quickly suppressed under the banner of "national security".

3. The Fate of Decentralization

If the decentralized tools and technologies are forced to flow out due to policy uncertainty, the entire Web3 innovation may lose a large part of its momentum. Especially in the context of tightening regulations in other major jurisdictions around the world, the direction of U.S. policy will undoubtedly become a key factor in shaping the landscape of Web3 innovation.

4. Aiyong's Perspective: Break the Shackles, Guard the Flame of Innovation

From Aiyong's perspective, the path to Web3 compliance should not be one of concession and compromise, but how to seek true innovation and freedom within the framework of the system. Compliance should serve innovation, not constrain it. The technological development of Web3 cannot be stagnant in the limitations of the law, nor can it make absolute sacrifices between privacy rights and freedom of expression.

Aiyong will continue to track the Web3 regulatory dynamics in countries around the world, and is committed to helping enterprises find ways to cope with the complex compliance environment. We believe that true compliance is symbiotic with technology, not antagonistic. In the complex world woven by technology, law, and the market, guarding privacy rights, freedom of speech, and the freedom of decentralized development is not only the battle of technological innovators, but also the common pursuit of all who love freedom and innovation.

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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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