Why is employment so low? Is this a recession? It's said the data has been revised upward. What does that mean? Macroeconomic data is so complex; it's impossible to simply determine whether a recession is occurring with just one or two figures. I think studying the macroeconomic landscape and speculating on first- and second-tier market dynamics are pointless for the upcoming market. Just look at this prediction; "Trump's determination" is the macroeconomic backdrop.

Why do I say layer-one/layer-two speculation is meaningless? For 22 years, I've been essentially focused on data and meetings, opening contracts based on candlestick charts, on-chain forecasts, and macroeconomic forecasts, all while guessing market reactions. It's all too familiar. "I guess if A happens, it'll go up, but the market might have already priced it in, and it might have already gone up before the data came out. So, if the data matches, it might go down." It's so boring. Might as well open contracts blindly.