ETH: Summary of discussions in the Shuqin muted group (21:00:04 ~ 22:00:04)

1. Current Recommended Direction The current recommendation for ETH is to short, focusing on a rebound to the 2980-3000 range before entering short positions, avoiding blindly chasing the market down. This assessment is based on a natural pullback after the rise from 2800 to 3000, with a probability exceeding 70%. The emphasis on "waiting for the rebound to reach its target short" reflects the idea that "a rebound is a window to escape." 2. Position and Risk Management Recommendations: A leverage of 10x is recommended. While the position size is not explicitly stated, it implies the existence of long-term short positions; heavy shorting is unnecessary. The trading strategy revolves around the 2980-3000 price level, suitable for light entry on rallies. Currently, there are no clear profit-taking or stop-loss points, but a phased entry strategy is implied. Emphasis should be placed on risk control; full-position trading for a rebound is not recommended. 3. This trading strategy is geared towards aggressive short-term and swing trading, using rebound highs to tentatively establish positions. It is suitable for traders who prefer quick entries and exits and flexible position adjustments. It relies on the probability of price pullbacks to establish short-term short positions, not holding long-term trends, emphasizing a "70%+ probability of natural pullback," making it suitable for aggressive short-selling strategies.