Foresight News 消息，据 Hyperliquid 平台页面，此前处于测试阶段的预测市场功能（HIP-4）目前已可交易。平台现已上线「BTC above 78213 on May 3 at 2:00 PM?」合约，隐含概率为 73%，当前成交量约 1.3 万美元，合约持仓量约 1.4 万美元。

<p>Foresight News 消息，据 Hyperliquid 平台页面，此前处于测试阶段的预测市场功能（HIP-4）目前已可交易。平台现已上线「BTC above 78213 on May 3 at 2:00 PM?」合约，隐含概率为 73%，当前成交量约 1.3 万美元，合约持仓量约 1.4 万美元。</p>

Hyperliquid 预测市场 HIP-4 已上线，首个合约为 BTC 价格预测

According to Foresight News , the prediction market feature (HIP-4), previously in testing, is now available for trading on the Hyperliquid platform. The platform has launched a contract with the implied probability of "BTC above 78213 on May 3 at 2:00 PM?", currently showing a trading volume of approximately $13,000 and open interest of approximately $14,000.

<p>According to Foresight News , the prediction market feature (HIP-4), previously in testing, is now available for trading on the Hyperliquid platform. The platform has launched a contract with the implied probability of &quot;BTC above 78213 on May 3 at 2:00 PM?&quot;, currently showing a trading volume of approximately $13,000 and open interest of approximately $14,000.</p>

Hyperliquid's prediction market HIP-4 is now live, with the first contract being a BTC price prediction contract.

"We are about to experience a major human revolution comparable to the invention of money."

Tim Draper, the "godfather of venture capital" in Silicon Valley, gave a recent speech: Holding Bitcoin is no longer a choice, but a responsibility.

Original article by Odaily Odaily(@OdailyChina)
Author｜Golem (@web3_golem) [Iran]
Crazy Monday! After 3 months, Bitcoin has once again broken the $80,000 mark.
The Altcoin market has also seen a recovery. According to Quantify crypto data, in the past 24 hours, over 80% of the top 200 Altcoin by market capitalization have experienced varying degrees of increase, with DOGE rising over 5.43% and ZEC rising...

A tweet from Trump sent Bitcoin back to $80,000 after three months.

Abstract
When we wrote our first article, "Who's Trading on HIP-3?", our attribution method was statistical. We categorized each wallet based on its trading activity over the past three months: addresses primarily placing orders were categorized as market makers, addresses with high-frequency order taking were categorized as arbitrageurs, and orders with low execution rates and the "builder" tag were categorized as retail investors. This approach did reveal some interesting market structure features, but the classification was probabilistic, and approximately 70% of wallets remained uncategorized.

[Polymarket] This article replaces statistical inference with a more mechanical classification system. @Hyper...